PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer

4–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Philadelphia Union won 4–2.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
2.921.1
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Philadelphia Union beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Recorded in this match (Philadelphia Union – Orlando City SC): shots 20–11, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 2.92–1.1, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for4 goals/match2 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Philadelphia Union show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Philadelphia Union's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsPhiladelphia Union · Orlando City SC11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPhiladelphia UnionOrlando City SCBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against8.96 shots/match16.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsPhiladelphia Union 20 shots, Orlando City SC 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsPhiladelphia Union 9 shots, Orlando City SC 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.92 xG1.1 xGPhiladelphia Union 2.92 xG, Orlando City SC 1.1 xG
  • Possession36%64%Philadelphia Union 36%, Orlando City SC 64%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersPhiladelphia Union 7 corners, Orlando City SC 7 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls13 foulsPhiladelphia Union 19 fouls, Orlando City SC 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsPhiladelphia Union 2 cards, Orlando City SC 4 cards
  • Passes308 passes576 passesPhiladelphia Union 308 passes, Orlando City SC 576 passes
  • Pass accuracy74%83%Philadelphia Union 74%, Orlando City SC 83%
  • Shots inside box13 shots9 shotsPhiladelphia Union 13 shots, Orlando City SC 9 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks4 blocksPhiladelphia Union 7 blocks, Orlando City SC 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves5 savesPhiladelphia Union 0 saves, Orlando City SC 5 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides1 offsidePhiladelphia Union 5 offsides, Orlando City SC 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 11′Milan IloskiPenalty goal · Philadelphia Union
  2. 13′Eduard AtuestaYellow card · Orlando City SC
  3. 19′Milan IloskiGoal · Philadelphia Union
  4. 37′Iago SilvaYellow card · Orlando City SC
  5. 43′Joran GerbetYellow card · Orlando City SC
  6. Half-time
  7. 47′Indiana VassilevGoal · Philadelphia Union
  8. 51′Milan IloskiGoal · Philadelphia Union
  9. 62′Quinn SullivanYellow card · Philadelphia Union
  10. 77′Japhet Sery LarsenYellow card · Philadelphia Union
  11. 78′Iván AnguloGoal · Orlando City SC
  12. 84′Iván AnguloYellow card · Orlando City SC
  13. 90′Martín OjedaGoal · Orlando City SC
  14. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 54′Orlando City SC · 3 player changesVinicius Nogueira · Luis Otávio · Harvey Sarajian
  • 79′Philadelphia Union · 2 player changesAgustin Anello · Alejandro Bedoya
  • 85′Philadelphia Union · 2 player changesJeremy Rafanello · Ezekiel Alladoh
  • 89′Orlando City SC · 1 player changeTiago Souza
  • 90′Philadelphia Union · 1 player changeJordan Griffin

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Philadelphia Union
  1. Andrew RickG
  2. Japhet Sery LarsenD
  3. Ben BenderD
  4. Nathan HarrielD
  5. Kai WagnerD
  6. Jovan LukićM
  7. Jesus BuenoM
  8. Indiana VassilevM
  9. Quinn SullivanM
  10. Bruno DamianiF
  11. Milan IloskiF
Orlando City SC
  1. Maxime CrépeauG
  2. Robin JanssonD
  3. Zakaria TaifiD
  4. Bernardo RheinD
  5. Iago SilvaD
  6. Martín OjedaM
  7. Eduard AtuestaM
  8. Joran GerbetM
  9. Iván AnguloM
  10. Antoine GriezmannF
  11. Daryl DikeF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Philadelphia Union
1Draws
3Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer4–3
Philadelphia Union — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer0–0
Orlando City SC — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer2–4
Orlando City SC — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer2–1
Philadelphia Union — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Philadelphia Union favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Orlando City SC in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Philadelphia Union27 matchesOrlando City SC27 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.78 goals/match
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/272.37 goals/match
1.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/231.53 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots27/2611.8 shots/match
5.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/264.81 shots/match
47.1%Possession27/26● 49.2%
5.96 corners/match ●Corners27/264.08 corners/match
3.14 cards/matchCards7/42.75 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls27/2610.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPhiladelphia UnionOrlando City SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headPhiladelphia Union — Orlando City SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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