Major League Soccer · 2026
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: inter Miami CF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Alongside it: san Diego FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

San Diego FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

San Diego FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.76 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter Miami CF have a visible home split

moderate

Inter Miami CF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18 shots/match ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter Miami CF favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 2 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter Miami CF22 matchesSan Diego FC21 matches
2.55 goals/match Goals scored22/211.76 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed22/21 1.52 goals/match
2.24 xG/match Expected goals19/181.41 xG/match
15.5 shots/match Shots22/2111.8 shots/match
6.23 shots/match Shots on target22/214.43 shots/match
57.1%Possession22/21 61.6%
5.5 corners/match Corners22/214.86 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/103.1 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2110.8 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter Miami CF95.0
San Diego FC98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter Miami CF95.0
San Diego FC44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter Miami CF37.8
San Diego FC42.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter Miami CF55.0
San Diego FC1.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami CF78.3
San Diego FC60.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 61%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami CF75.0
San Diego FC46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter Miami CF83.3
San Diego FC35.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
22 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128.9 days

Inter Miami CF / San Diego FC

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidencelimited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required