PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Austin FC 3–3 San Diego FC · Major League Soccer

3–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Austin FC and San Diego FC drew 3–3.

Shots
1315
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.261.97
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Austin FC and San Diego FC drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Austin FC – San Diego FC): shots 13–15, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.26–1.97, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Diego FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

San Diego FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.74 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

San Diego FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.6%PossessionAustin FC · San Diego FC● 59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAustin FCSan Diego FCBaseline
Possession48.6%59.7%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots15 shotsAustin FC 13 shots, San Diego FC 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsAustin FC 6 shots, San Diego FC 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.97 xGAustin FC 1.26 xG, San Diego FC 1.97 xG
  • Possession41%59%Austin FC 41%, San Diego FC 59%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerAustin FC 4 corners, San Diego FC 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsAustin FC 12 fouls, San Diego FC 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsAustin FC 1 card, San Diego FC 0 cards
  • Passes467 passes686 passesAustin FC 467 passes, San Diego FC 686 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.5%90.4%Austin FC 86.5%, San Diego FC 90.4%
  • Shots inside box11 shots12 shotsAustin FC 11 shots, San Diego FC 12 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks5 blocksAustin FC 2 blocks, San Diego FC 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesAustin FC 2 saves, San Diego FC 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesAustin FC 1 offside, San Diego FC 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. Half-time
  2. 50′Cédric BakambuGoal · San Diego FC
  3. 58′Mikkel DeslerGoal · Austin FC
  4. 64′Marcus IngvartsenGoal · San Diego FC
  5. 73′Brandon VázquezGoal · Austin FC
  6. 82′Christian RamirezGoal · Austin FC
  7. 86′Christian RamirezGoal · Austin FC
  8. 87′Christian RamirezYellow card · Austin FC
  9. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 36′Austin FC · 1 player changeOleksandr Svatok
  • 46′San Diego FC · 1 player changeCédric Bakambu
  • 65′Austin FC · 2 player changesJorge Alastuey · Ilie Sánchez
  • 89′San Diego FC · 2 player changesAlejandro Alvarado Jr · Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
  • 90′San Diego FC · 1 player changeBryan Zamblé

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Austin FC3-4-3
  1. Brad StuverG
  2. Mikkel DeslerD
  3. Oleksandr SvatokD
  4. Facundo TorresD
  5. Žan KolmaničD
  6. Jorge AlastueyD
  7. Ilie SánchezM
  8. Besard SabovićM
  9. Brandon VázquezF
  10. Jon GallagherF
  11. Christian RamirezF
San Diego FC4-3-3
  1. CJ Dos SantosG
  2. Kieran SargeantD
  3. Ian PilcherD
  4. Manu DuahD
  5. Ian MurphyD
  6. Dagur Dan ÞórhallssonM
  7. Jeppe TverskovM
  8. Aníbal GodoyM
  9. Marcus IngvartsenF
  10. Anders DreyerF
  11. Elias AchouriF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Austin FC
0Draws
2San Diego FC
San Diego FC — Austin FC · Major League Soccer5–0
San Diego FC — Austin FC · Major League Soccer1–0
Austin FC — San Diego FC · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Austin FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Austin FC27 matchesSan Diego FC27 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.74 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.74 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.46 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 11.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.44 shots/match
48.6%Possession27/27● 59.7%
4.48 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.7 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/123.5 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAustin FCSan Diego FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headAustin FC — San Diego FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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