PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

DC United 2–1 Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

DC United won 2–1.

Shots
1016
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.570.8
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

DC United beat Columbus Crew 2–1. Recorded in this match (DC United – Columbus Crew): shots 10–16, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.57–0.8, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Columbus Crew.

11 days ▲Rest daysDC United · Columbus Crew4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDC UnitedColumbus CrewBaseline
Rest days11 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Columbus Crew have recorded the higher season possession share.

39%PossessionDC United · Columbus Crew● 57.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDC UnitedColumbus CrewBaseline
Possession39%57.3%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots16 shotsDC United 10 shots, Columbus Crew 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsDC United 5 shots, Columbus Crew 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.57 xG0.8 xGDC United 2.57 xG, Columbus Crew 0.8 xG
  • Possession28%72%DC United 28%, Columbus Crew 72%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersDC United 3 corners, Columbus Crew 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsDC United 8 fouls, Columbus Crew 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsDC United 3 cards, Columbus Crew 2 cards
  • Passes280 passes728 passesDC United 280 passes, Columbus Crew 728 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%90.9%DC United 75%, Columbus Crew 90.9%
  • Shots inside box9 shots7 shotsDC United 9 shots, Columbus Crew 7 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block4 blocksDC United 1 block, Columbus Crew 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesDC United 3 saves, Columbus Crew 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideDC United 2 offsides, Columbus Crew 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 12′Tarun KarumanchiYellow card · Columbus Crew
  2. 19′João PeglowYellow card · DC United
  3. 19′Cesar RuvalcabaYellow card · Columbus Crew
  4. 24′Tai BariboGoal · DC United
  5. 37′Tai BariboGoal · DC United
  6. Half-time
  7. 49′Santiago RodríguezGoal · Columbus Crew
  8. 57′Kye RowlesYellow card · DC United
  9. 90′Sean JohnsonYellow card · DC United
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Columbus Crew · 2 player changesSteven Moreira · Brais Méndez
  • 46′DC United · 1 player changeMatti Peltola
  • 60′Columbus Crew · 1 player changeGonzalo Tapia
  • 70′DC United · 1 player changeNathan Ordaz
  • 70′Columbus Crew · 1 player changeAndré Gomes
  • 78′DC United · 1 player changeBrandon Servania
  • 81′Columbus Crew · 1 player changeJamal Thiaré
  • 90′DC United · 1 player changeSean Nealis

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

DC United4-3-3
  1. Sean JohnsonG
  2. Kimito NonoD
  3. Lucas BartlettD
  4. Keisuke KurokawaD
  5. Andre DozzellD
  6. Matti PeltolaM
  7. João PeglowM
  8. Brandon ServaniaM
  9. Louis MunteanuF
  10. Nathan OrdazF
  11. Jackson HopkinsF
Columbus Crew4-4-2
  1. Patrick SchulteG
  2. Brooks LennonD
  3. Malte AmundsenD
  4. Sean ZawadzkiD
  5. Steven MoreiraD
  6. Santiago RodríguezM
  7. André GomesM
  8. Mohamed FarsiM
  9. Tarun KarumanchiM
  10. Brais MéndezF
  11. Josef MartínezF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0DC United
2Draws
3Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew — DC United · Major League Soccer2–1
DC United — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer1–2
DC United — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–2
Columbus Crew — DC United · Major League Soccer1–1
DC United — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: DC United favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

DC United23 matchesColumbus Crew24 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored23/24▲ 1.46 goals/match
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/241.71 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/211.09 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots23/2411.8 shots/match
4.39 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/243.88 shots/match
39%Possession23/24● 57.3%
4.91 corners/matchCorners23/24● 5 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/51.2 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls23/249.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDC UnitedColumbus Crew
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headDC United — Columbus Crew
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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