Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps

DWLWL

vsPre-match analysis

St.Louis City

WDWWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: St.Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

St.Louis City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St.Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.5 shots/match▲ShotsVancouver Whitecaps · St.Louis City14.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Vancouver Whitecaps	St.Louis City	Baseline
Shots	17.5 shots/match	14.1 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	8.33 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.33 corners/matchCornersVancouver Whitecaps · St.Louis City●5.88 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Vancouver Whitecaps	St.Louis City	Baseline
Corners	5.33 corners/match	5.88 corners/match	4.78 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Vancouver Whitecaps favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · St.Louis City in 0 · 2 too close

2.47 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/161.38 goals/match

1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/161.44 goals/match

2.4 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/131.62 xG/match

0.97 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/131.18 xG/match

17.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1614.1 shots/match

8.33 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1611.4 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/164.63 shots/match

3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/164.19 shots/match

54.9%●Possessionseason · 15/1649.8%

5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/16●5.88 corners/match

3.27 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/164.5 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/53.2 cards/match

15.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1613.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1613%

87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1675%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Vancouver Whitecaps81.7

St.Louis City48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Vancouver Whitecaps95

St.Louis City52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Vancouver Whitecaps96.1

St.Louis City76.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Vancouver Whitecaps95

St.Louis City75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Vancouver Whitecaps81.7

St.Louis City83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 66%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Vancouver Whitecaps70

St.Louis City86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Vancouver Whitecaps90.4

St.Louis City71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Vancouver Whitecaps15 matchesSt.Louis City16 matches

2.47 goals/match▲Goals scored15/161.38 goals/match

1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/161.44 goals/match

2.4 xG/match▲Expected goals12/131.62 xG/match

17.5 shots/match▲Shots15/1614.1 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target15/164.63 shots/match

54.9%●Possession15/1649.8%

5.33 corners/matchCorners15/16●5.88 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match

15.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1613.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Vancouver Whitecaps8 matchesSt.Louis City9 matches

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/90.89 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/91.56 goals/match

3.02 xG/match▲Expected goals6/81.57 xG/match

18.4 shots/match▲Shots8/912.8 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target8/93.67 shots/match

53.5%●Possession8/948.9%

6.38 corners/match●Corners8/96 corners/match

—Cards2/34.33 cards/match

16.6 fouls/matchFouls8/912.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

45.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/145 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples15 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness45 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4