PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 St.Louis City · Major League Soccer

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

St.Louis City won 1–3.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.921.6
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

St.Louis City beat Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1. Recorded in this match (Vancouver Whitecaps – St.Louis City): shots 15–11, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.92–1.6, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

St.Louis City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St.Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.1 fouls/matchFoulsVancouver Whitecaps · St.Louis City13.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVancouver WhitecapsSt.Louis CityBaseline
Fouls15.1 fouls/match13.7 fouls/match11.7 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

St.Louis City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

St.Louis City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsVancouver Whitecaps · St.Louis City13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVancouver WhitecapsSt.Louis CityBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against8.14 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsVancouver Whitecaps 15 shots, St.Louis City 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsVancouver Whitecaps 3 shots, St.Louis City 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG1.6 xGVancouver Whitecaps 0.92 xG, St.Louis City 1.6 xG
  • Possession47%53%Vancouver Whitecaps 47%, St.Louis City 53%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersVancouver Whitecaps 6 corners, St.Louis City 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls18 foulsVancouver Whitecaps 18 fouls, St.Louis City 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsVancouver Whitecaps 4 cards, St.Louis City 3 cards
  • Passes441 passes509 passesVancouver Whitecaps 441 passes, St.Louis City 509 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%84.7%Vancouver Whitecaps 81%, St.Louis City 84.7%
  • Shots inside box10 shots7 shotsVancouver Whitecaps 10 shots, St.Louis City 7 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksVancouver Whitecaps 3 blocks, St.Louis City 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesVancouver Whitecaps 3 saves, St.Louis City 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesVancouver Whitecaps 0 offsides, St.Louis City 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Emmanuel SabbiGoal · Vancouver Whitecaps
  2. 23′Simon BecherGoal · St.Louis City
  3. 26′Thomas MüllerYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  4. 36′Conrad WallemYellow card · St.Louis City
  5. 41′Tomas TotlandGoal · St.Louis City
  6. 45′Conrad WallemGoal · St.Louis City
  7. Half-time
  8. 49′Mathías LabordaYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  9. 50′Emmanuel SabbiYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  10. 71′Ryan GauldYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  11. 84′Christopher DurkinYellow card · St.Louis City
  12. 90′Fallou FallYellow card · St.Louis City
  13. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Vancouver Whitecaps · 3 player changesOliver Larraz · Brian White · Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
  • 59′Vancouver Whitecaps · 1 player changeRyan Gauld
  • 61′St.Louis City · 1 player changeRafael Navarro
  • 80′St.Louis City · 1 player changeJeong Sang-bin
  • 82′Vancouver Whitecaps · 1 player changeYadaly Diaby
  • 90′St.Louis City · 2 player changesDamion Downs · Fallou Fall

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Vancouver Whitecaps4-2-3-1
  1. Yohei TakaokaG
  2. Mathías LabordaD
  3. Tate JohnsonD
  4. Tristan BlackmonD
  5. Nikola DjordjevicD
  6. Oliver LarrazM
  7. Thomas MüllerM
  8. Andrés CubasM
  9. Bruno QuiñonezF
  10. Brian WhiteF
  11. Ryan GauldF
St.Louis City3-4-3
  1. Roman BürkiG
  2. Conrad WallemD
  3. Tomas TotlandD
  4. Dante PolvaraD
  5. Timo BaumgartlD
  6. Jaziel OrozcoD
  7. Alexandru MățanM
  8. Daniel EdelmanM
  9. Christopher DurkinF
  10. Simon BecherF
  11. Jeong Sang-binF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Vancouver Whitecaps
1Draws
0St.Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer3–2
St.Louis City — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer0–0
St.Louis City — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer1–4
Vancouver Whitecaps — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer4–3
Vancouver Whitecaps — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vancouver Whitecaps favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · St.Louis City in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vancouver Whitecaps22 matchesSt.Louis City23 matches
2.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/231.57 goals/match
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/231.35 goals/match
2.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/201.57 xG/match
17.2 shots/match ▲Shots22/2313.8 shots/match
6.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/234.61 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession22/2351.4%
5.82 corners/match ●Corners22/235.61 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/72.57 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVancouver WhitecapsSt.Louis City
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headVancouver Whitecaps — St.Louis City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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