Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 01:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/matchShotsLA Galaxy · New England Revolution10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLA GalaxyNew England RevolutionBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match10.1 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

LA Galaxy favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 2 · 4 too close

1.35 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/161.38 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/161.25 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/141.13 xG/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/141.37 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1610.1 shots/match
11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1613.1 shots/match
5.35 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/163.69 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/165.38 shots/match
50.2%Possessionseason · 17/1650.1%
5.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/164.19 corners/match
3.35 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/165.5 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/43 cards/match
9.82 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1611.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1625%
94%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

LA Galaxy55
New England Revolution51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

LA Galaxy51.7
New England Revolution13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

LA Galaxy50.5
New England Revolution48.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

LA Galaxy51.7
New England Revolution15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

LA Galaxy35.9
New England Revolution55.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

LA Galaxy75
New England Revolution11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

LA Galaxy55.9
New England Revolution12.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

LA Galaxy17 matchesNew England Revolution16 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.38 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/161.25 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.13 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots17/1610.1 shots/match
5.35 shots/matchShots on target17/163.69 shots/match
50.2%Possession17/1650.1%
5.35 corners/matchCorners17/164.19 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/43 cards/match
9.82 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

LA Galaxy9 matchesNew England Revolution6 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/60.83 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/61.83 goals/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals7/41.15 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots9/68.83 shots/match
5.56 shots/matchShots on target9/63.33 shots/match
50.8%Possession9/646.2%
5.89 corners/matchCorners9/63 corners/match
Cards2/33 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls9/611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

45 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128.2 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness45 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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