PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Inter Miami CF 2–2 Atlanta United · Major League Soccer

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Inter Miami CF and Atlanta United drew 2–2.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.383.32
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter Miami CF and Atlanta United drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Inter Miami CF – Atlanta United): shots 11–15, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.38–3.32, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlanta United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlanta United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsInter Miami CF 11 shots, Atlanta United 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsInter Miami CF 3 shots, Atlanta United 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.38 xG3.32 xGInter Miami CF 1.38 xG, Atlanta United 3.32 xG
  • Possession50%50%Inter Miami CF 50%, Atlanta United 50%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersInter Miami CF 6 corners, Atlanta United 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsInter Miami CF 15 fouls, Atlanta United 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards3 cardsInter Miami CF 6 cards, Atlanta United 3 cards
  • Passes504 passes509 passesInter Miami CF 504 passes, Atlanta United 509 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.9%85.9%Inter Miami CF 88.9%, Atlanta United 85.9%
  • Shots inside box6 shots11 shotsInter Miami CF 6 shots, Atlanta United 11 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockInter Miami CF 4 blocks, Atlanta United 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveInter Miami CF 4 saves, Atlanta United 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesInter Miami CF 2 offsides, Atlanta United 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 28′Maximiliano FalcónYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  2. 32′CasemiroGoal · Inter Miami CF
  3. 35′Miguel AlmirónGoal · Atlanta United
  4. 39′Cooper SanchezYellow card · Atlanta United
  5. 42′Germán BerterameYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  6. 45′Luis SuárezGoal · Inter Miami CF
  7. Half-time
  8. 47′Paulo DíazYellow card · Atlanta United
  9. 58′Fricio CaicedoYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  10. 62′Dayne St. ClairYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  11. 72′CasemiroYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  12. 73′Miguel AlmirónPenalty missed · Atlanta United
  13. 76′Rodrigo De PaulYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  14. 87′Breel EmboloPenalty goal · Atlanta United
  15. 90′Matthew EdwardsYellow card · Atlanta United
  16. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Inter Miami CF · 1 player changeFacundo Mura
  • 56′Atlanta United · 1 player changeSteven Alzate
  • 57′Atlanta United · 1 player changeMauricio Amaro
  • 66′Atlanta United · 1 player changeMatthew Edwards
  • 69′Inter Miami CF · 1 player changeAlexander Shaw
  • 84′Inter Miami CF · 1 player changeMateo Silvetti
  • 85′Atlanta United · 1 player changeFafà Picault
  • 90′Inter Miami CF · 1 player changeDaniel Pinter

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Inter Miami CF4-3-3
  1. Dayne St. ClairG
  2. CasemiroD
  3. Ian FrayD
  4. Noah AllenD
  5. Maximiliano FalcónD
  6. Rodrigo De PaulM
  7. Telasco SegoviaM
  8. Yannick BrightM
  9. Luis SuárezF
  10. Lionel MessiF
  11. Germán BerterameF
Atlanta United4-3-1-2
  1. Lucas HoyosG
  2. Enea MihajD
  3. Junior AlonsoD
  4. Paulo DíazD
  5. Tomás JacobD
  6. Tristan MuyumbaM
  7. William ReillyM
  8. Cooper SanchezM
  9. Aleksey MiranchukM
  10. Miguel AlmirónF
  11. Fafà PicaultF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter Miami CF
0Draws
2Atlanta United
Inter Miami CF — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer4–0
Atlanta United — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–2
Inter Miami CF — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer2–3
Atlanta United — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer2–1
Inter Miami CF — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter Miami CF favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Atlanta United in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter Miami CF23 matchesAtlanta United23 matches
2.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.17 goals/match
1.87 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.74 goals/match
2.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.45 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots23/2312.6 shots/match
6.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/234 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession23/2350.9%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners23/234.87 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/62.67 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 05:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInter Miami CFAtlanta United
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headInter Miami CF — Atlanta United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required