Major League Soccer · 2026

FC Cincinnati vs DC United · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.231.27
Expected goals
1.721.41
Shots
13.912.5
Possession
50.5%39.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: DC United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: FC Cincinnati have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Cincinnati have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.5% ●PossessionFC Cincinnati · DC United39.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC CincinnatiDC UnitedBaseline
Possession50.5%39.5%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Cincinnati favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · DC United in 5

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Cincinnati22 matchesDC United22 matches
2.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.27 goals/match
2.32 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/191.41 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots22/2212.5 shots/match
6.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.36 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession22/2239.5%
4.77 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards8/62.67 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2213.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Cincinnati
1Draws
2DC United
FC Cincinnati — DC United · Major League Soccer1–2
DC United — FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer0–1
DC United — FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer2–3
FC Cincinnati — DC United · Major League Soccer0–0
DC United — FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

FC Cincinnati3-4-1-2
  1. Roman CelentanoG
  2. Miles RobinsonD
  3. Teenage HadebeD
  4. Pavel BuchaD
  5. Matt MiazgaD
  6. Ender EcheniqueD
  7. Obinna NwobodoM
  8. EvanderM
  9. Gerardo ValenzuelaM
  10. Kévin DenkeyF
  11. Kenji Mboma DemF
DC United4-3-3
  1. Sean JohnsonG
  2. Kimito NonoD
  3. Lucas BartlettD
  4. Keisuke KurokawaD
  5. Andre DozzellD
  6. Matti PeltolaM
  7. João PeglowM
  8. Brandon ServaniaM
  9. Louis MunteanuF
  10. Nathan OrdazF
  11. Jackson HopkinsF

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness7 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • The recorded fixture timing is not currently settled.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The recorded fixture status indicates that timing or completion is uncertain.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 01:31 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required