Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Portland Timbers

DLLWD

vsPre-match analysis

Minnesota United

DLLDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Minnesota United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Portland Timbers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.2 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Minnesota United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Minnesota United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match▲ShotsPortland Timbers · Minnesota United13.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Portland Timbers	Minnesota United	Baseline
Shots	12.9 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	17 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Portland Timbers

0Draws

1Minnesota United

19 Apr 2026Minnesota United FC — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Portland Timbers favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Minnesota United in 6 · 6 too close

1.81 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.19 goals/match

1.94 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.5 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.48 xG/match

1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.35 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1613.4 shots/match

17 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲12.3 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164.63 shots/match

6.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.63 shots/match

50.6%●Possessionseason · 16/1648%

4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/16●5.25 corners/match

6.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲5.25 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/41.25 cards/match

9.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1612.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲25%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1675%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portland Timbers58.3

Minnesota United41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portland Timbers56.7

Minnesota United38.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portland Timbers13.3

Minnesota United52.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portland Timbers45

Minnesota United61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers45

Minnesota United30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers28.3

Minnesota United63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portland Timbers33.8

Minnesota United57.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Portland Timbers16 matchesMinnesota United16 matches

1.81 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.19 goals/match

1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.5 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.48 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShots16/1613.4 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on target16/164.63 shots/match

50.6%●Possession16/1648%

4.44 corners/matchCorners16/16●5.25 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/41.25 cards/match

9.75 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Portland Timbers7 matchesMinnesota United9 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/91.44 goals/match

1.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/92.11 goals/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals5/71.39 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots7/911.9 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/9▲5.33 shots/match

53.4%●Possession7/946.3%

3.57 corners/matchCorners7/9●5.22 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match

9.71 fouls/matchFouls7/912.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

45 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/145.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness45 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4