Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 20:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Seattle Sounders FC

WLLLL

vsPre-match analysis

Chicago Fire

LWWWL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Seattle Sounders FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Chicago Fire's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Seattle Sounders FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Seattle Sounders FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.27 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chicago Fire have a visible away split

moderate

Chicago Fire's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.9 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Seattle Sounders FC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Chicago Fire in 7 · 5 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/15▲1.93 goals/match

1.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/151.27 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/12▲2.01 xG/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.4 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/15▲14.8 shots/match

13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/15▲12.1 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/155.13 shots/match

4.53 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/154.53 shots/match

52.7%Possessionseason · 15/1552.7%

5.33 corners/match●Cornersseason · 15/154.53 corners/match

6.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/15▲5.87 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/42.25 cards/match

9.07 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1513 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲40%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/15▲93%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Seattle Sounders FC70

Chicago Fire70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Seattle Sounders FC53.9

Chicago Fire79.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Seattle Sounders FC55

Chicago Fire62.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Seattle Sounders FC48.3

Chicago Fire68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders FC13.3

Chicago Fire55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders FC70

Chicago Fire35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Seattle Sounders FC55.4

Chicago Fire66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Seattle Sounders FC15 matchesChicago Fire15 matches

1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.93 goals/match

1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.27 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲2.01 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots15/15▲14.8 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on target15/155.13 shots/match

52.7%Possession15/1552.7%

5.33 corners/match●Corners15/154.53 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/42.25 cards/match

9.07 fouls/matchFouls15/1513 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Seattle Sounders FC7 matchesChicago Fire7 matches

1.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.86 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.43 goals/match

1.87 xG/matchExpected goals6/51.92 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots7/711.9 shots/match

6.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74.57 shots/match

52.4%●Possession7/750.4%

5.86 corners/match●Corners7/73.71 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

7.86 fouls/matchFouls7/713.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

37.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/137.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples15 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness38 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4