PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Toronto FC 1–1 New York City FC · Major League Soccer

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Toronto FC and New York City FC drew 1–1.

Shots
146
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
0.730.36
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Toronto FC and New York City FC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Toronto FC – New York City FC): shots 14–6, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 0.73–0.36, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

New York City FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New York City FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

New York City FC have a visible away split

moderate

New York City FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.27 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.27 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Toronto FC, New York City FC.

7 days ▲Rest daysToronto FC · New York City FC6.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricToronto FCNew York City FCBaseline
Rest days7 days6.12 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsToronto FC 14 shots, New York City FC 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsToronto FC 6 shots, New York City FC 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG0.36 xGToronto FC 0.73 xG, New York City FC 0.36 xG
  • Possession41%59%Toronto FC 41%, New York City FC 59%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersToronto FC 7 corners, New York City FC 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsToronto FC 10 fouls, New York City FC 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsToronto FC 3 cards, New York City FC 3 cards
  • Passes363 passes552 passesToronto FC 363 passes, New York City FC 552 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.4%89%Toronto FC 85.4%, New York City FC 89%
  • Shots inside box8 shots5 shotsToronto FC 8 shots, New York City FC 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockToronto FC 3 blocks, New York City FC 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save5 savesToronto FC 1 save, New York City FC 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesToronto FC 2 offsides, New York City FC 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 18′Benjamin KuscevicYellow card · Toronto FC
  2. 29′Nicolás FernándezGoal · New York City FC
  3. 40′Nicolás FernándezYellow card · New York City FC
  4. Half-time
  5. 54′Andrés PereaYellow card · New York City FC
  6. 59′Đorđe MihailovićYellow card · Toronto FC
  7. 64′Matheus PereiraYellow card · Toronto FC
  8. 70′Dániel SallóiGoal · Toronto FC
  9. 90′Jonathan ShoreYellow card · New York City FC
  10. Full time
Player changes · 6grouped by team and minute
  • 55′Toronto FC · 2 player changesMatheus Pereira · Dániel Sallói
  • 63′New York City FC · 2 player changesKevin O'Toole · Raul Gustavo
  • 75′New York City FC · 1 player changeMalachi Jones
  • 77′New York City FC · 1 player changeJonathan Shore

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Toronto FC
1Draws
4New York City FC
New York City FC — Toronto FC · Major League Soccer1–1
New York City FC — Toronto FC · Major League Soccer3–1
Toronto FC — New York City FC · Major League Soccer0–1
Toronto FC — New York City FC · Major League Soccer2–3
New York City FC — Toronto FC · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toronto FC favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · New York City FC in 6 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toronto FC22 matchesNew York City FC22 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals20/19▲ 1.26 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots22/2211.6 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.86 shots/match
46.1%Possession22/22● 54.1%
5.05 corners/match ●Corners22/223.45 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards6/42.5 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsToronto FCNew York City FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headToronto FC — New York City FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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