PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

New York Red Bulls 1–3 Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Philadelphia Union won 1–3.

Shots
1119
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.592.89
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Philadelphia Union beat New York Red Bulls 3–1. Recorded in this match (New York Red Bulls – Philadelphia Union): shots 11–19, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.59–2.89, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.86 corners/matchCornersNew York Red Bulls · Philadelphia Union● 6.05 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNew York Red BullsPhiladelphia UnionBaseline
Corners5.86 corners/match6.05 corners/match4.9 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Philadelphia Union show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Philadelphia Union's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsNew York Red Bulls · Philadelphia Union16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew York Red BullsPhiladelphia UnionBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match16 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match9.32 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots19 shotsNew York Red Bulls 11 shots, Philadelphia Union 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsNew York Red Bulls 4 shots, Philadelphia Union 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.59 xG2.89 xGNew York Red Bulls 1.59 xG, Philadelphia Union 2.89 xG
  • Possession58%42%New York Red Bulls 58%, Philadelphia Union 42%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersNew York Red Bulls 4 corners, Philadelphia Union 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsNew York Red Bulls 12 fouls, Philadelphia Union 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsNew York Red Bulls 1 card, Philadelphia Union 2 cards
  • Passes443 passes315 passesNew York Red Bulls 443 passes, Philadelphia Union 315 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.3%70.8%New York Red Bulls 81.3%, Philadelphia Union 70.8%
  • Shots inside box11 shots14 shotsNew York Red Bulls 11 shots, Philadelphia Union 14 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks6 blocksNew York Red Bulls 3 blocks, Philadelphia Union 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesNew York Red Bulls 1 save, Philadelphia Union 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides4 offsidesNew York Red Bulls 3 offsides, Philadelphia Union 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 21′Milan IloskiGoal · Philadelphia Union
  2. Half-time
  3. 50′Cavan SullivanGoal · Philadelphia Union
  4. 64′Neil PierreGoal · Philadelphia Union
  5. 74′Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingGoal · New York Red Bulls
  6. 79′Ronald DonkorYellow card · New York Red Bulls
  7. 90′Agustin AnelloYellow card · Philadelphia Union
  8. 90′Quinn SullivanYellow card · Philadelphia Union
  9. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 46′New York Red Bulls · 1 player changeEric Maxim Choupo-Moting
  • 64′Philadelphia Union · 1 player changeQuinn Sullivan
  • 67′New York Red Bulls · 3 player changesJahkeele Marshall-Rutty · Mohammed Sofo · Cameron Harper
  • 80′Philadelphia Union · 2 player changesJesus Bueno · Agustin Anello
  • 84′Philadelphia Union · 1 player changeEzekiel Alladoh

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1New York Red Bulls
1Draws
3Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union — New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer3–1
New York Red Bulls — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer1–0
Philadelphia Union — New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer2–0
New York Red Bulls — Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer0–2
Philadelphia Union — New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New York Red Bulls favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Philadelphia Union in 10 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New York Red Bulls22 matchesPhiladelphia Union22 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.55 goals/match
2.09 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.77 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.78 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 16 shots/match
4.91 shots/matchShots on target22/224.77 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession22/2246.4%
5.86 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.05 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards6/63.67 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls22/2215.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNew York Red BullsPhiladelphia Union
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headNew York Red Bulls — Philadelphia Union
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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