PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Inter Miami CF 7–1 CF Montréal · Major League Soccer

7–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Inter Miami CF won 7–1.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
115
Expected goals
3.030.86
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter Miami CF beat CF Montréal 7–1. Recorded in this match (Inter Miami CF – CF Montréal): shots 20–10, shots on target 11–5, expected goals 3.03–0.86, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter Miami CF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter Miami CF's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter Miami CF have a visible home split

moderate

Inter Miami CF's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter Miami CF, CF Montréal.

7 days ▲Rest daysInter Miami CF · CF Montréal7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInter Miami CFCF MontréalBaseline
Rest days7 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsInter Miami CF 20 shots, CF Montréal 10 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots5 shotsInter Miami CF 11 shots, CF Montréal 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.03 xG0.86 xGInter Miami CF 3.03 xG, CF Montréal 0.86 xG
  • Possession57%43%Inter Miami CF 57%, CF Montréal 43%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersInter Miami CF 6 corners, CF Montréal 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsInter Miami CF 10 fouls, CF Montréal 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsInter Miami CF 1 card, CF Montréal 2 cards
  • Passes572 passes432 passesInter Miami CF 572 passes, CF Montréal 432 passes
  • Pass accuracy90.9%88.4%Inter Miami CF 90.9%, CF Montréal 88.4%
  • Shots inside box13 shots8 shotsInter Miami CF 13 shots, CF Montréal 8 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksInter Miami CF 5 blocks, CF Montréal 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesInter Miami CF 3 saves, CF Montréal 5 saves

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 11′Ian FrayYellow card · Inter Miami CF
  2. 20′CasemiroGoal · Inter Miami CF
  3. 35′Fabian HerbersYellow card · CF Montréal
  4. 37′Fabian HerbersGoal · CF Montréal
  5. 39′Noah StreitYellow card · CF Montréal
  6. 40′Luca PetrassoGoal · CF Montréal
  7. Half-time
  8. 52′Lionel MessiGoal · Inter Miami CF
  9. 80′Luis SuárezGoal · Inter Miami CF
  10. 83′Lionel MessiGoal · Inter Miami CF
  11. 89′Alexander ShawGoal · Inter Miami CF
  12. 90′Lionel MessiGoal · Inter Miami CF
  13. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 59′CF Montréal · 2 player changesDante Sealy · Daniel Pereira
  • 60′CF Montréal · 1 player changeAlexis Sánchez
  • 76′Inter Miami CF · 1 player changeAlexander Shaw
  • 84′CF Montréal · 2 player changesBrandan Craig · Wikelman Carmona
  • 86′Inter Miami CF · 2 player changesFacundo Mura · Ezequiel Abadia-Reda

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Inter Miami CF
0Draws
1CF Montréal
CF Montréal — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer0–1
CF Montréal — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–4
Inter Miami CF — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer4–2
CF Montréal — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer2–3
Inter Miami CF — CF Montréal · Major League Soccer2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter Miami CF favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · CF Montréal in 0 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter Miami CF22 matchesCF Montréal22 matches
2.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.36 goals/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/222.09 goals/match
2.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.46 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots22/2213.1 shots/match
6.23 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.82 shots/match
57.1% ●Possession22/2248.1%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners22/225.14 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/82.13 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInter Miami CFCF Montréal
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headInter Miami CF — CF Montréal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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