Atlanta United
Major League Soccer · 2026Atlanta United 2–1 Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Atlanta United won 2–1.
- Shots
- 8–8
- Shots on target
- 3–1
- Expected goals
- 1.89–0.68
- Possession
- 49%–51%
Full time
What the match recorded
Atlanta United beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlanta United – Sporting Kansas City): shots 8–8, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.89–0.68, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season
moderateSporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.4 goals/match | 0.95 goals/match | 1.52 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlanta United, Sporting Kansas City.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Atlanta United | Sporting Kansas City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3.94 days | 3.96 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Sporting Kansas City show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakSporting Kansas City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Atlanta United | Sporting Kansas City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 12.2 shots/match | 9.43 shots/match | 12.8 shots/match |
| Shots against | 12.3 shots/match | 15.7 shots/match | 12.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 13′Tomás JacobGoal · Atlanta United
- 22′Emir KarićYellow card · Sporting Kansas City
- 24′Fafà PicaultGoal · Atlanta United
- Half-time
- 70′Stephen AfrifaGoal · Sporting Kansas City
- 72′Luke BrennanYellow card · Atlanta United
- 76′Elías BáezYellow card · Atlanta United
- Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
- 45′Sporting Kansas City · 1 player changeJustin Reynolds
- 62′Atlanta United · 2 player changesLuke Brennan · William Reilly
- 62′Sporting Kansas City · 2 player changesStephen Afrifa · Jayden Reid
- 73′Atlanta United · 1 player changeStian Gregersen
- 78′Atlanta United · 2 player changesSteven Alzate · Matthew Edwards
- 87′Sporting Kansas City · 1 player changeJacob Bartlett
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Lucas HoyosG
- Elías BáezD
- Junior AlonsoD
- Paulo DíazD
- Tomás JacobD
- Tristan MuyumbaM
- Adrian GillM
- Cooper SanchezM
- Miguel AlmirónF
- Fafà PicaultF
- Aleksey MiranchukF
Substitutes
- Jayden Hibbert
- Ronald Hernández
- Enea Mihaj
- Stian Gregersen
- Matthew Edwards
- Steven Alzate
- Luke Brennan
- William Reilly
- Sergio Santos
- Stefan ClevelandG
- Moises MosqueraD
- Jacob DavisD
- Emir KarićD
- Wyatt MeyerD
- Lasse Berg JohnsenM
- CapitaM
- Calvin HarrisM
- Zorhan BassongM
- Taylor CalheiraF
- Shapi SuleymanovF
Substitutes
- John Pulskamp
- Ian James
- Justin Reynolds
- Jansen Miller
- Jacob Bartlett
- Diego Borges
- Jayden Reid
- Kwaku Agyabeng
- Stephen Afrifa
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Atlanta United favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Sporting Kansas City in 0 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Atlanta United / Sporting Kansas City
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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