Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 20:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

New England Revolution

LWLDL

vsPre-match analysis

New York City FC

WWDLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: New York City FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

New York City FC have a visible away split

moderate

New York City FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.5 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New England Revolution favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · New York City FC in 7 · 4 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲1.69 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/131.12 xG/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/131.49 xG/match

10.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲11.2 shots/match

13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲12.1 shots/match

3.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲5 shots/match

5.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.75 shots/match

50.1%Possessionseason · 16/1655.8%

4.19 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/163.31 corners/match

5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲4.94 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.5 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New England Revolution51.7

New York City FC88.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New England Revolution13.3

New York City FC49.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New England Revolution48.9

New York City FC58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New England Revolution15

New York City FC11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution55.9

New York City FC49.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution11.7

New York City FC1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New England Revolution12.1

New York City FC33.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

0.88 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.15 xG/match

10.4 shots/match▲Shots5/57.8 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match

54.4%Possession5/548.8%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.04 xG/match

10.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.3 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.5 shots/match

52.4%Possession10/1055.8%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/102.9 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.69 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.38 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals14/131.12 xG/match

10.1 shots/matchShots16/16▲11.2 shots/match

3.69 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲5 shots/match

50.1%Possession16/1655.8%

4.19 corners/matchCorners16/163.31 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 8 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/81 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/81.13 goals/match

1.13 xG/match▲Expected goals10/60.96 xG/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots10/88.5 shots/match

3.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/83.5 shots/match

52.4%Possession10/855.1%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/82.25 corners/match

—Cards1/33.33 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/813.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/131.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4