Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Portland Timbers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Los Angeles FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/matchShotsLos Angeles FC · Portland Timbers12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLos Angeles FCPortland TimbersBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match17 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Los Angeles FC
0Draws
1Portland Timbers
Portland TimbersLos Angeles FC · Major League Soccer21

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Los Angeles FC favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 1 · 5 too close

1.76 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/161.81 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/161.94 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/131.43 xG/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/131.68 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1612.9 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1617 shots/match
4.76 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/164.69 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/166.69 shots/match
46.4%Possessionseason · 17/1650.6%
5.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/164.44 corners/match
5.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/166.44 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/53 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/169.75 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
59%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/166%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1675%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles FC21.7
Portland Timbers58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles FC66.1
Portland Timbers56.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles FC73.9
Portland Timbers13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles FC85
Portland Timbers45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC30
Portland Timbers45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC81.7
Portland Timbers28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles FC62.5
Portland Timbers33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.79 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots5/516.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.6 shots/match
45.8%Possession5/558.6%
7 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/102 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.56 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots10/1014.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/1055%
5.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 16 matches
1.76 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.81 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed17/161.94 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals14/131.43 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots17/1612.9 shots/match
4.76 shots/matchShots on target17/164.69 shots/match
46.4%Possession17/1650.6%
5.82 corners/matchCorners17/164.44 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/53 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls17/169.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.44 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed9/92 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals7/81.43 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots9/913.6 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target9/94.56 shots/match
45.1%Possession9/948.4%
6 corners/matchCorners9/95.11 corners/match
Cards2/2
12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/99.78 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/131 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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