Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Houston Dynamo

LWDDW

vsPre-match analysis

LA Galaxy

LWDLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Houston Dynamo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Houston Dynamo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Houston Dynamo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Houston Dynamo

1Draws

0LA Galaxy

24 May 2026Los Angeles Galaxy — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Houston Dynamo favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · LA Galaxy in 4 · 6 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/171.35 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/171.65 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/14▲1.51 xG/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/141.38 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1713.1 shots/match

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1711.9 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/17▲5.35 shots/match

3.94 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/174.71 shots/match

44.9%Possessionseason · 16/1750.2%

4.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/175.35 corners/match

5.06 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/17▲3.35 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/42.75 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/179.82 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1712%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/17▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Houston Dynamo11.7

LA Galaxy55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Houston Dynamo56.6

LA Galaxy51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Houston Dynamo70.5

LA Galaxy50.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Houston Dynamo88.3

LA Galaxy51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo50

LA Galaxy35.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo21.7

LA Galaxy75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Houston Dynamo44.1

LA Galaxy55.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.45 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/513.2 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

52.2%Possession5/552.6%

2.8 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

0.9 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.46 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match

45.8%Possession10/1048.3%

3.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 17 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/171.35 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.65 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲1.51 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots16/1713.1 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲5.35 shots/match

44.9%Possession16/1750.2%

4.38 corners/matchCorners16/175.35 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards6/42.75 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls16/179.82 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches

1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.5 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.75 goals/match

0.89 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲1.29 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots8/812.6 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5.13 shots/match

44%Possession8/849.6%

5 corners/matchCorners8/84.75 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards5/2—

9.75 fouls/matchFouls8/88.38 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/123.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 17home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4