PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Houston Dynamo 1–0 LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Houston Dynamo won 1–0.

Shots
99
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
1.240.74
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Houston Dynamo beat LA Galaxy 1–0. Recorded in this match (Houston Dynamo – LA Galaxy): shots 9–9, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 1.24–0.74, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

LA Galaxy's recent record differs from the season

moderate

LA Galaxy's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsHouston Dynamo 9 shots, LA Galaxy 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsHouston Dynamo 2 shots, LA Galaxy 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG0.74 xGHouston Dynamo 1.24 xG, LA Galaxy 0.74 xG
  • Possession61%39%Houston Dynamo 61%, LA Galaxy 39%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersHouston Dynamo 4 corners, LA Galaxy 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsHouston Dynamo 15 fouls, LA Galaxy 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards1 cardHouston Dynamo 4 cards, LA Galaxy 1 card
  • Passes549 passes343 passesHouston Dynamo 549 passes, LA Galaxy 343 passes
  • Pass accuracy91.1%88.3%Houston Dynamo 91.1%, LA Galaxy 88.3%
  • Shots inside box3 shots5 shotsHouston Dynamo 3 shots, LA Galaxy 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksHouston Dynamo 3 blocks, LA Galaxy 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves1 saveHouston Dynamo 0 saves, LA Galaxy 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideHouston Dynamo 2 offsides, LA Galaxy 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jakob Glesnes · LA Galaxy · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJack McGlynn · Houston Dynamo · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme · Houston Dynamo · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack McGlynn · Houston Dynamo · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme · Houston Dynamo · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · LA Galaxy · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAgustín Bouzat · Houston Dynamo · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetElijah Wynder · LA Galaxy · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHirving Lozano · LA Galaxy · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · LA Galaxy · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Lingr · Houston Dynamo · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHéctor Herrera · Houston Dynamo · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · LA Galaxy · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Paintsil · LA Galaxy · 86′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJustin Haak · LA Galaxy · 41′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMateusz Bogusz · Houston Dynamo · 60′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHarbor Miller · LA Galaxy · 5′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme · Houston Dynamo · 21′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Houston Dynamo: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.27 xG. LA Galaxy: 9 shots, 0 on target, 0.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Guilherme · Houston Dynamo · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Houston Dynamo 1.27 xG · LA Galaxy 0.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Houston Dynamo
3Draws
1LA Galaxy
LA Galaxy — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer1–1
Houston Dynamo — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer1–1
LA Galaxy — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer1–1
Houston Dynamo — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer2–1
LA Galaxy — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Houston Dynamo favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · LA Galaxy in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Houston Dynamo19 matchesLA Galaxy20 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/201.2 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/201.5 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.43 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots19/2013 shots/match
4.74 shots/matchShots on target19/20▲ 5.1 shots/match
46.8%Possession19/20● 49.5%
4.26 corners/matchCorners19/20● 5.3 corners/match
2.89 cards/matchCards9/63 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls19/2010.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHouston DynamoLA Galaxy
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headHouston Dynamo — LA Galaxy
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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