Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Charlotte FC

DLWWD

vsPre-match analysis

Columbus Crew

LLDWL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlotte FC's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Charlotte FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Charlotte FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Charlotte FC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlotte FC have a visible home split

moderate

Charlotte FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Charlotte FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Charlotte FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsCharlotte FC · Columbus Crew11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Charlotte FC	Columbus Crew	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	13.5 shots/match	9.56 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlotte FC favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 5 · 6 too close

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.56 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.09 xG/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/131.17 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611.5 shots/match

13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲9.56 shots/match

4.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.06 shots/match

5.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4 shots/match

47.3%Possessionseason · 16/1657.4%

4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.25 corners/match

4.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲3.63 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/41.25 cards/match

9.63 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1610.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲19%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlotte FC31.7

Columbus Crew95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlotte FC47.2

Columbus Crew25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlotte FC33.9

Columbus Crew74.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlotte FC28.3

Columbus Crew8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlotte FC25.9

Columbus Crew9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlotte FC48.3

Columbus Crew63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlotte FC35.8

Columbus Crew30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.27 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

46%Possession5/561.2%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.6 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.17 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots10/1011.4 shots/match

4.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match

45%Possession10/1060.2%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.38 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.56 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.09 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots16/1611.5 shots/match

4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.06 shots/match

47.3%Possession16/1657.4%

4.75 corners/matchCorners16/165.25 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/41.25 cards/match

9.63 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 8 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/81.5 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/82.13 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals9/61.02 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots10/811 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/83.88 shots/match

49.6%Possession10/856.4%

5.8 corners/matchCorners10/86 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/2—

8.9 fouls/matchFouls10/810.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/124 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4