PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Charlotte FC 3–1 Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Charlotte FC won 3–1.

Shots
926
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.911.42
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charlotte FC beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Recorded in this match (Charlotte FC – Columbus Crew): shots 9–26, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.91–1.42, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charlotte FC have a visible home split

moderate

Charlotte FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match11.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Charlotte FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Charlotte FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCharlotte FC · Columbus Crew12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharlotte FCColumbus CrewBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match9.79 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Columbus Crew's recent record differs from the season

weak

Columbus Crew's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots26 shotsCharlotte FC 9 shots, Columbus Crew 26 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsCharlotte FC 7 shots, Columbus Crew 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.91 xG1.42 xGCharlotte FC 1.91 xG, Columbus Crew 1.42 xG
  • Possession30%70%Charlotte FC 30%, Columbus Crew 70%
  • Corners1 corner13 cornersCharlotte FC 1 corner, Columbus Crew 13 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsCharlotte FC 9 fouls, Columbus Crew 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsCharlotte FC 3 cards, Columbus Crew 0 cards
  • Passes313 passes722 passesCharlotte FC 313 passes, Columbus Crew 722 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%92.1%Charlotte FC 84%, Columbus Crew 92.1%
  • Shots inside box7 shots17 shotsCharlotte FC 7 shots, Columbus Crew 17 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks11 blocksCharlotte FC 0 blocks, Columbus Crew 11 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesCharlotte FC 3 saves, Columbus Crew 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesCharlotte FC 2 offsides, Columbus Crew 0 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tarun Karumanchi · Columbus Crew · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDylan Chambost · Columbus Crew · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrooks Lennon · Columbus Crew · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPep Biel · Charlotte FC · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLautaro Giaccone · Columbus Crew · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDániel Gazdag · Columbus Crew · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrooks Lennon · Columbus Crew · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDylan Chambost · Columbus Crew · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaha Habroune · Columbus Crew · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTaha Habroune · Columbus Crew · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChase Adams · Columbus Crew · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTaha Habroune · Columbus Crew · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Charlotte FC · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBrais Méndez · Columbus Crew · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTaha Habroune · Columbus Crew · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCesar Ruvalcaba · Columbus Crew · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Columbus Crew · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDylan Chambost · Columbus Crew · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSean Zawadzki · Columbus Crew · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Columbus Crew · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIdan Toklomati · Charlotte FC · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPep Biel · Charlotte FC · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChase Adams · Columbus Crew · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndré Gomes · Columbus Crew · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBrooks Lennon · Columbus Crew · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMalte Amundsen · Columbus Crew · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Columbus Crew · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJosef Martínez · Columbus Crew · 81′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedChase Adams · Columbus Crew · 24′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedArchie Goodwin · Charlotte FC · 65′ · 0.17 xG · on targetPep Biel · Charlotte FC · 73′ · 0.20 xG · goalLiel Abada · Charlotte FC · 69′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedChase Adams · Columbus Crew · 41′ · 0.26 xG · goalBrandt Bronico · Charlotte FC · 1′ · 0.32 xG · goalLiel Abada · Charlotte FC · 9′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlotte FC: 9 shots, 7 on target, 1.93 xG. Columbus Crew: 26 shots, 4 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Brandt Bronico · Charlotte FC · 1′Liel Abada · Charlotte FC · 9′Pep Biel · Charlotte FC · 73′Chase Adams · Columbus Crew · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlotte FC 1.93 xG · Columbus Crew 1.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Charlotte FC
1Draws
2Columbus Crew
Charlotte FC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer3–2
Columbus Crew — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer4–2
Columbus Crew — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer1–1
Charlotte FC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–0
Columbus Crew — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlotte FC favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlotte FC19 matchesColumbus Crew19 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.42 goals/match
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.63 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.18 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 12.4 shots/match
4.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.11 shots/match
46.1%Possession19/19● 57.4%
4.42 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.42 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/51.2 cards/match
9.21 fouls/matchFouls19/199.84 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCharlotte FCColumbus Crew
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headCharlotte FC — Columbus Crew
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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