Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Nashville SC

WWWWW

vsPre-match analysis

Inter Miami CF

WWWWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter Miami CF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Inter Miami CF's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Inter Miami CF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter Miami CF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.63 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	4 goals/match	2.63 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter Miami CF have a visible away split

moderate

Inter Miami CF's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season16.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	16.1 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Nashville SC favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Inter Miami CF in 6 · 3 too close

2.06 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲2.63 goals/match

0.69 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.88 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲2.38 xG/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.55 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲16.1 shots/match

10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1612.8 shots/match

4.94 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲6.88 shots/match

3.31 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/164.94 shots/match

54.6%Possessionseason · 16/1657.4%

4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/166 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲3.38 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/43 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1612.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nashville SC78.3

Inter Miami CF91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nashville SC57.2

Inter Miami CF97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nashville SC93.9

Inter Miami CF33.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nashville SC18.3

Inter Miami CF71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC33.4

Inter Miami CF75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC28.3

Inter Miami CF91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nashville SC39.2

Inter Miami CF88.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲4 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

0.83 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.82 xG/match

8.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲16 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.6 shots/match

51.4%Possession5/555%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲3.1 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲2.5 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.5 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.5 shots/match

54.7%Possession10/1055.1%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/106.5 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

2.06 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2.63 goals/match

0.69 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.88 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲2.38 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots16/16▲16.1 shots/match

4.94 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲6.88 shots/match

54.6%Possession16/1657.4%

4.44 corners/matchCorners16/166 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/43 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches

2.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/92.56 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.67 goals/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goals7/61.52 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShots9/913.3 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on target9/95.56 shots/match

57.4%Possession9/955.8%

4.78 corners/matchCorners9/94.56 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/43 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/913 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/124 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4