Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Toronto FC

LLLDD

vsPre-match analysis

New England Revolution

LWLDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsToronto FC · New England Revolution10.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Toronto FC	New England Revolution	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	10.1 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	11.6 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Toronto FC

1Draws

0New England Revolution

22 Jul 2026New England Revolution — Toronto FC · Major League Soccer0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Toronto FC favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 3 · 5 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

1.81 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.25 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/141.13 xG/match

1.14 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/141.37 xG/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1610.1 shots/match

11.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1613.1 shots/match

4.06 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/163.69 shots/match

4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/165.38 shots/match

47.1%Possessionseason · 16/1650.1%

5.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.19 corners/match

5.94 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲5.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/43 cards/match

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲25%

81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Toronto FC28.3

New England Revolution51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Toronto FC25

New England Revolution13.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Toronto FC56.1

New England Revolution48.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Toronto FC31.7

New England Revolution15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Toronto FC43.4

New England Revolution55.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Toronto FC78.3

New England Revolution11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Toronto FC45.4

New England Revolution12.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.01 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.88 xG/match

11.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match

2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3 shots/match

45.6%Possession5/554.4%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.06 xG/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.9 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.5 shots/match

48.6%Possession10/1052.4%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/109.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.38 goals/match

1.81 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.25 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.13 xG/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots16/1610.1 shots/match

4.06 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.69 shots/match

47.1%Possession16/1650.1%

5.56 corners/matchCorners16/164.19 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/43 cards/match

12.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 6 matches

1.89 goals/match▲Goals scored9/60.83 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed9/6▲1.83 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals9/41.15 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots9/68.83 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target9/63.33 shots/match

47.6%Possession9/646.2%

6.11 corners/matchCorners9/63 corners/match

—Cards2/33 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls9/611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness24 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4