Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledSaputo StadiumPre-match analysis

CF Montreal

DLDDL

vsPre-match analysis

New England Revolution

WLWLD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.47 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0CF Montreal

0Draws

1New England Revolution

4 Apr 2026New England Revolution — CF Montreal · Major League Soccer3–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

CF Montreal favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 4 · 3 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/15▲1.47 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/15▲1.2 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.19 xG/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.41 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1510.1 shots/match

12 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1513.1 shots/match

4.44 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/153.8 shots/match

4.81 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/155.27 shots/match

47.8%Possessionseason · 16/1550.2%

5.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/153.87 corners/match

4.44 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/155.6 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/43 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1511.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/15▲27%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/15▲73%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

CF Montreal38.3

New England Revolution51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

CF Montreal36.7

New England Revolution17.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

CF Montreal40

New England Revolution49.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

CF Montreal55

New England Revolution15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

CF Montreal63.4

New England Revolution56.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

CF Montreal58.3

New England Revolution11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

CF Montreal55

New England Revolution12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.97 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

49%Possession5/557.2%

7.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.1 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.1 shots/match

4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match

46.2%Possession10/1053%

5.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/109.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 15 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/15▲1.47 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed16/15▲1.2 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.19 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots16/1510.1 shots/match

4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target16/153.8 shots/match

47.8%Possession16/1550.2%

5.13 corners/matchCorners16/153.87 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards6/43 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1511.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/60.83 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/61.83 goals/match

1.51 xG/match▲Expected goals7/41.15 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots7/68.83 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/63.33 shots/match

46.1%Possession7/646.2%

6.86 corners/matchCorners7/63 corners/match

—Cards1/33 cards/match

14.9 fouls/matchFouls7/611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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