PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

New England Revolution 0–2 Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Houston Dynamo won 0–2.

Shots
913
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.40.83
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Houston Dynamo beat New England Revolution 2–0. Recorded in this match (New England Revolution – Houston Dynamo): shots 9–13, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.4–0.83, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

weak

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.56 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsNew England Revolution 9 shots, Houston Dynamo 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsNew England Revolution 2 shots, Houston Dynamo 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG0.83 xGNew England Revolution 0.4 xG, Houston Dynamo 0.83 xG
  • Possession48%52%New England Revolution 48%, Houston Dynamo 52%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersNew England Revolution 9 corners, Houston Dynamo 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsNew England Revolution 10 fouls, Houston Dynamo 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardNew England Revolution 1 card, Houston Dynamo 1 card
  • Passes494 passes552 passesNew England Revolution 494 passes, Houston Dynamo 552 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.6%89.5%New England Revolution 86.6%, Houston Dynamo 89.5%
  • Shots inside box4 shots6 shotsNew England Revolution 4 shots, Houston Dynamo 6 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks2 blocksNew England Revolution 7 blocks, Houston Dynamo 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesNew England Revolution 5 saves, Houston Dynamo 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideNew England Revolution 0 offsides, Houston Dynamo 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jack Harrison · New England Revolution · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · New England Revolution · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Andrade · Houston Dynamo · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme · Houston Dynamo · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme · Houston Dynamo · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDor Turgeman · New England Revolution · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateusz Bogusz · Houston Dynamo · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGuilherme · Houston Dynamo · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAgustin Resch · Houston Dynamo · 63′ · 0.03 xG · goalCarles Gil · New England Revolution · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArtur · Houston Dynamo · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarles Gil · New England Revolution · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDor Turgeman · New England Revolution · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateusz Bogusz · Houston Dynamo · 53′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHéctor Herrera · Houston Dynamo · 60′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPeyton Miller · New England Revolution · 2′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBrooklyn Raines · New England Revolution · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEzequiel Ponce · Houston Dynamo · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPeyton Miller · New England Revolution · 28′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEzequiel Ponce · Houston Dynamo · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme · Houston Dynamo · 66′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGuilherme · Houston Dynamo · 45′ · 0.25 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

New England Revolution: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.40 xG. Houston Dynamo: 13 shots, 7 on target, 0.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Guilherme · Houston Dynamo · 45′Agustin Resch · Houston Dynamo · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: New England Revolution 0.40 xG · Houston Dynamo 0.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1New England Revolution
0Draws
2Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer2–1
New England Revolution — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer3–0
Houston Dynamo — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New England Revolution favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Houston Dynamo in 9 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New England Revolution18 matchesHouston Dynamo18 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.5 goals/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.33 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.16 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 4.89 shots/match
50.1% ●Possession18/1846%
4.11 corners/matchCorners18/18● 4.28 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/82.63 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNew England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headNew England Revolution — Houston Dynamo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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