Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 02:45 UTCProvidence Park

Portland Timbers

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2–1Full-time analysis

Seattle Sounders FC

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Portland Timbers won 2–1.

Shots: 1416
Shots on target: 53
Expected goals: 1.771.43
Possession: 53%47%

This match

Match statistics

Shots14 shots16 shotsPortland Timbers 14 shots, Seattle Sounders FC 16 shots
Shots on target5 shots3 shotsPortland Timbers 5 shots, Seattle Sounders FC 3 shots
Expected goals1.77 xG1.43 xGPortland Timbers 1.77 xG, Seattle Sounders FC 1.43 xG
Possession53%47%Portland Timbers 53%, Seattle Sounders FC 47%
Corners4 corners5 cornersPortland Timbers 4 corners, Seattle Sounders FC 5 corners
Fouls7 fouls12 foulsPortland Timbers 7 fouls, Seattle Sounders FC 12 fouls
Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsPortland Timbers 2 cards, Seattle Sounders FC 2 cards
Passes489 passes434 passesPortland Timbers 489 passes, Seattle Sounders FC 434 passes
Pass accuracy87.1%81.6%Portland Timbers 87.1%, Seattle Sounders FC 81.6%
Shots inside box8 shots10 shotsPortland Timbers 8 shots, Seattle Sounders FC 10 shots
Blocked shots3 blocks6 blocksPortland Timbers 3 blocks, Seattle Sounders FC 6 blocks
Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesPortland Timbers 2 saves, Seattle Sounders FC 3 saves
Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesPortland Timbers 0 offsides, Seattle Sounders FC 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Portland Timbers: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.75 xG. Seattle Sounders FC: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Portland Timbers 1.75 xG · Seattle Sounders FC 1.38 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Portland Timbers beat Seattle Sounders FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Portland Timbers – Seattle Sounders FC): shots 14–16, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.77–1.43, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Seattle Sounders FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.18 goals/match	1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Seattle Sounders FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsPortland Timbers · Seattle Sounders FC13.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Portland Timbers	Seattle Sounders FC	Baseline
Shots	13.5 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	12.9 shots/match
Shots against	16.3 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Portland Timbers

2Draws

1Seattle Sounders FC

17 Jul 2026Seattle Sounders FC — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer1–5

5 Oct 2025Seattle Sounders FC — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer1–0

18 May 2025Portland Timbers — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer1–1

20 Oct 2024Seattle Sounders FC — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer1–1

1 Sept 2024Portland Timbers — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portland Timbers favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders FC in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portland Timbers18 matchesSeattle Sounders FC17 matches

1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/171.18 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed18/17▲ 1.29 goals/match

1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/141.4 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots18/1713.3 shots/match

4.78 shots/matchShots on target18/174.94 shots/match

51.3%Possession18/17● 52.6%

4.94 corners/matchCorners18/17● 5.06 corners/match

2.86 cards/matchCards7/42.25 cards/match

9.72 fouls/matchFouls18/179.35 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portland Timbers58.3

Seattle Sounders FC71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portland Timbers69.4

Seattle Sounders FC48.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portland Timbers13.9

Seattle Sounders FC59.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portland Timbers45.0

Seattle Sounders FC41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers43.3

Seattle Sounders FC22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers51.7

Seattle Sounders FC61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portland Timbers48.3

Seattle Sounders FC50.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches

7.01 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.14 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready

Season samples18 / 17home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 06:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

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Match at a glance

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the match recorded

Seattle Sounders FC's recent record differs from the season

Seattle Sounders FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Team comparison

Season

Style profile

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Make a graphic from this match