Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTCDick's Sporting Goods Park

Colorado Rapids

WLLWL

1–0Full-time analysis

Austin FC

LLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Colorado Rapids won 1–0.

Shots: 239
Shots on target: 83
Expected goals: 2.951.22
Possession: 64%36%

This match

Match statistics

Shots23 shots9 shotsColorado Rapids 23 shots, Austin FC 9 shots
Shots on target8 shots3 shotsColorado Rapids 8 shots, Austin FC 3 shots
Expected goals2.95 xG1.22 xGColorado Rapids 2.95 xG, Austin FC 1.22 xG
Possession64%36%Colorado Rapids 64%, Austin FC 36%
Corners11 corners0 cornersColorado Rapids 11 corners, Austin FC 0 corners
Fouls15 fouls12 foulsColorado Rapids 15 fouls, Austin FC 12 fouls
Yellow cards1 card4 cardsColorado Rapids 1 card, Austin FC 4 cards
Passes509 passes299 passesColorado Rapids 509 passes, Austin FC 299 passes
Pass accuracy88%74.3%Colorado Rapids 88%, Austin FC 74.3%
Shots inside box20 shots5 shotsColorado Rapids 20 shots, Austin FC 5 shots
Blocked shots7 blocks2 blocksColorado Rapids 7 blocks, Austin FC 2 blocks
Goalkeeper saves3 saves7 savesColorado Rapids 3 saves, Austin FC 7 saves
Offsides1 offside1 offsideColorado Rapids 1 offside, Austin FC 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Colorado Rapids: 24 shots, 8 on target, 3.02 xG. Austin FC: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Colorado Rapids 3.02 xG · Austin FC 1.35 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Colorado Rapids beat Austin FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Colorado Rapids – Austin FC): shots 23–9, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.95–1.22, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.5 goals/match	1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.3 shots/match	10.9 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Austin FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Austin FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsColorado Rapids · Austin FC10.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Colorado Rapids	Austin FC	Baseline
Shots	10.9 shots/match	10.4 shots/match	12.9 shots/match
Shots against	12.1 shots/match	17.5 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Colorado Rapids

0Draws

2Austin FC

8 Jun 2025Colorado Rapids — Austin FC · Major League Soccer0–2

9 Mar 2025Austin FC — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer0–1

20 Oct 2024Austin FC — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer3–2

16 Jun 2024Colorado Rapids — Austin FC · Major League Soccer2–0

1 Oct 2023Colorado Rapids — Austin FC · Major League Soccer1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Colorado Rapids favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Austin FC in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Colorado Rapids18 matchesAustin FC18 matches

1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.22 goals/match

1.39 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/182 goals/match

1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/150.96 xG/match

10.9 shots/match ▲Shots18/1810.4 shots/match

4.11 shots/matchShots on target18/184 shots/match

54.7% ●Possession18/1847.1%

4.94 corners/match ●Corners18/184.17 corners/match

3.67 cards/matchCards9/42 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1811 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Colorado Rapids78.3

Austin FC35.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Colorado Rapids23.3

Austin FC8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Colorado Rapids68.3

Austin FC8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Colorado Rapids5.0

Austin FC25.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids93.3

Austin FC25.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 61%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids51.7

Austin FC15.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Colorado Rapids41.2

Austin FC14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Rest before fixture · Both teams: 7.04 days
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Match at a glance

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the match recorded

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

Austin FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Team comparison

Season

Style profile

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Make a graphic from this match