Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Sporting Kansas City

WWLLW

vsPre-match analysis

Houston Dynamo

WLWDD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Houston Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.13 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Houston Dynamo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Houston Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.56 shots/match▲ShotsSporting Kansas City · Houston Dynamo13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sporting Kansas City	Houston Dynamo	Baseline
Shots	9.56 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	16.6 shots/match	12.2 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sporting Kansas City favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Houston Dynamo in 11 · 3 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/15▲1.33 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/15▲1.6 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.09 xG/match

1.98 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.24 xG/match

9.56 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/15▲13.5 shots/match

16.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/15▲12.2 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/15▲4.87 shots/match

6.06 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/15▲4.07 shots/match

44.3%Possessionseason · 16/1544.4%

3.81 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/154.4 corners/match

5.94 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/15▲4.8 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/63 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1510.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/15▲27%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/15▲73%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sporting Kansas City8.3

Houston Dynamo11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sporting Kansas City7.8

Houston Dynamo48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sporting Kansas City10

Houston Dynamo61.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sporting Kansas City25

Houston Dynamo88.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sporting Kansas City43.3

Houston Dynamo50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sporting Kansas City8.3

Houston Dynamo21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sporting Kansas City26.2

Houston Dynamo41.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.96 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.4 shots/match

47.4%Possession5/548.6%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.04 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.03 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.8 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.3 shots/match

43.7%Possession10/1045.5%

4.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

14.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 15 matches

1.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/15▲1.33 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/15▲1.6 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.09 xG/match

9.56 shots/matchShots16/15▲13.5 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲4.87 shots/match

44.3%Possession16/1544.4%

3.81 corners/matchCorners16/154.4 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/63 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1510.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲1.57 goals/match

1.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/72.43 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals6/71.26 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots8/7▲13.7 shots/match

5.38 shots/matchShots on target8/75.29 shots/match

43.1%Possession8/744.9%

3.88 corners/matchCorners8/73.71 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/711 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

Houston Dynamo show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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