Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTCAllianz Field

Minnesota United

LLDLD

1–1Full-time analysis

San Diego FC

WDLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Minnesota United and San Diego FC drew 1–1.

Shots: 1413
Shots on target: 82
Expected goals: 0.931.47
Possession: 33%67%

This match

Match statistics

Shots14 shots13 shotsMinnesota United 14 shots, San Diego FC 13 shots
Shots on target8 shots2 shotsMinnesota United 8 shots, San Diego FC 2 shots
Expected goals0.93 xG1.47 xGMinnesota United 0.93 xG, San Diego FC 1.47 xG
Possession33%67%Minnesota United 33%, San Diego FC 67%
Corners8 corners4 cornersMinnesota United 8 corners, San Diego FC 4 corners
Fouls8 fouls3 foulsMinnesota United 8 fouls, San Diego FC 3 fouls
Yellow cards1 card1 cardMinnesota United 1 card, San Diego FC 1 card
Passes338 passes726 passesMinnesota United 338 passes, San Diego FC 726 passes
Pass accuracy81.4%89.7%Minnesota United 81.4%, San Diego FC 89.7%
Shots inside box8 shots8 shotsMinnesota United 8 shots, San Diego FC 8 shots
Blocked shots1 block2 blocksMinnesota United 1 block, San Diego FC 2 blocks
Goalkeeper saves1 save7 savesMinnesota United 1 save, San Diego FC 7 saves
Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesMinnesota United 0 offsides, San Diego FC 3 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Minnesota United: 14 shots, 8 on target, 0.92 xG. San Diego FC: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Minnesota United 0.92 xG · San Diego FC 1.52 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Minnesota United and San Diego FC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Minnesota United – San Diego FC): shots 14–13, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 0.93–1.47, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Minnesota United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Minnesota United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.11 goals/match	1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Diego FC have a visible away split

moderate

San Diego FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.5 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

San Diego FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.5%PossessionMinnesota United · San Diego FC● 61.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Minnesota United	San Diego FC	Baseline
Possession	46.5%	61.8%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Minnesota United

0Draws

2San Diego FC

12 Apr 2026San Diego FC — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer1–2

25 Nov 2025San Diego FC — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer1–0

14 Sept 2025San Diego FC — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer1–3

15 Jun 2025Minnesota United — San Diego FC · Major League Soccer2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Minnesota United favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · San Diego FC in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Minnesota United18 matchesSan Diego FC18 matches

1.11 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.78 goals/match

1.39 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.61 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.44 xG/match

13.3 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.7 shots/match

4.72 shots/matchShots on target18/184.5 shots/match

46.5%Possession18/18● 61.8%

5.39 corners/match ●Corners18/184.78 corners/match

1.6 cards/matchCards5/92.89 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.6 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Minnesota United21.7

San Diego FC98.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Minnesota United41.1

San Diego FC45.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Minnesota United63.9

San Diego FC35.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Minnesota United75.0

San Diego FC1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United26.6

San Diego FC55.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United71.7

San Diego FC43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Minnesota United58.8

San Diego FC34.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.96 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

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Match at a glance

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the match recorded

Minnesota United's recent record differs from the season

San Diego FC have a visible away split

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Team comparison

Season

Style profile

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Make a graphic from this match