Major League Soccer · 2026Audi Field

DC United 2–2 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

DC United and Nashville SC drew 2–2.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.741.52
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

DC United and Nashville SC drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (DC United – Nashville SC): shots 16–10, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.74–1.52, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nashville SC have a visible away split

moderate

Nashville SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match11 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Nashville SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.8%PossessionDC United · Nashville SC● 54.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDC UnitedNashville SCBaseline
Possession39.8%54.8%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsDC United 16 shots, Nashville SC 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsDC United 7 shots, Nashville SC 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG1.52 xGDC United 1.74 xG, Nashville SC 1.52 xG
  • Possession40%60%DC United 40%, Nashville SC 60%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersDC United 8 corners, Nashville SC 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsDC United 14 fouls, Nashville SC 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsDC United 2 cards, Nashville SC 3 cards
  • Passes317 passes508 passesDC United 317 passes, Nashville SC 508 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%86.8%DC United 77%, Nashville SC 86.8%
  • Shots inside box8 shots8 shotsDC United 8 shots, Nashville SC 8 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksDC United 4 blocks, Nashville SC 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves5 savesDC United 0 saves, Nashville SC 5 saves

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Brandon Servania · DC United · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHany Mukhtar · Nashville SC · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLouis Munteanu · DC United · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLouis Munteanu · DC United · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJackson Hopkins · DC United · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Lovitz · Nashville SC · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Servania · DC United · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Peglow · DC United · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSam Surridge · Nashville SC · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedElias Saad · Nashville SC · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLouis Munteanu · DC United · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTai Baribo · DC United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedShakur Mohammed · Nashville SC · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSilvan Hefti · DC United · 56′ · 0.08 xG · goalJoão Peglow · DC United · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosh Bauer · Nashville SC · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSam Surridge · Nashville SC · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLouis Munteanu · DC United · 27′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAhmed Qasem · Nashville SC · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLouis Munteanu · DC United · 56′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKye Rowles · DC United · 56′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTai Baribo · DC United · 77′ · 0.15 xG · goalTai Baribo · DC United · 69′ · 0.17 xG · on targetTai Baribo · DC United · 83′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedShakur Mohammed · Nashville SC · 40′ · 0.23 xG · goalTai Baribo · DC United · 70′ · 0.68 xG · on targetSam Surridge · Nashville SC · 32′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

DC United: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.98 xG. Nashville SC: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Silvan Hefti · DC United · 56′Tai Baribo · DC United · 77′Sam Surridge · Nashville SC · 32′Shakur Mohammed · Nashville SC · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: DC United 1.98 xG · Nashville SC 1.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2DC United
2Draws
1Nashville SC
Nashville SC — DC United · Major League Soccer2–2
DC United — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer0–1
Nashville SC — DC United · Major League Soccer0–0
Nashville SC — DC United · Major League Soccer3–4
DC United — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: DC United favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

DC United18 matchesNashville SC18 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.94 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.78 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.18 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on target18/184.61 shots/match
39.8%Possession18/18● 54.8%
4.94 corners/match ●Corners18/184.5 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/51.8 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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