Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledAudi FieldPre-match analysis

DC United

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vsPre-match analysis

Nashville SC

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30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Nashville SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nashville SC have a visible away split

moderate

Nashville SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.57 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.57 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Nashville SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.5%▲PossessionDC United · Nashville SC54.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	DC United	Nashville SC	Baseline
Possession	39.5%	54.6%	50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0DC United

1Draws

0Nashville SC

10 May 2026Nashville SC — DC United · Major League Soccer2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

DC United favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 9 · 4 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲2.06 goals/match

1.63 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲0.69 goals/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.18 xG/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.18 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611.3 shots/match

13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲10.2 shots/match

4.19 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲4.94 shots/match

5.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲3.31 shots/match

39.5%Possessionseason · 16/1654.6%

4.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.44 corners/match

5.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲4 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/42 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲50%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

DC United1.7

Nashville SC78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

DC United31.6

Nashville SC58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

DC United31.1

Nashville SC93.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

DC United81.7

Nashville SC18.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

DC United67.5

Nashville SC33.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

DC United40

Nashville SC28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

DC United47.5

Nashville SC40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.31 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.83 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

37.8%Possession5/551.4%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.03 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.8 shots/match

38.8%Possession10/1054.7%

4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2.06 goals/match

1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲0.69 goals/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.18 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots16/1611.3 shots/match

4.19 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲4.94 shots/match

39.5%Possession16/1654.6%

4.56 corners/matchCorners16/164.44 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/42 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match

2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.29 goals/match

1.19 xG/match▲Expected goals5/60.81 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots7/79.57 shots/match

5.29 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match

43.1%Possession7/751%

5.71 corners/matchCorners7/74 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/1—

15.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.96 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

DC United's recent record differs from the season

Nashville SC have a visible away split

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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