PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Mon, 25 May 2026, 01:15 UTCFull time

Los Angeles FC

1–0Full-time recap

Seattle Sounders

This page now describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Seattle Sounders's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Key factors

The clearest supported patterns

Strength combines sample and difference. It is not a probability.

Seattle Sounders's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Seattle Sounders's last-five shots average is above their season average.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Shots20 shots/match14 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Corners5.93 corners/match5.69 corners/match4.73 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Seattle Sounders have a visible away split

moderate

Seattle Sounders's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles FC38.3
Seattle Sounders75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles FC66.7
Seattle Sounders59.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles FC80.6
Seattle Sounders70.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles FC78.3
Seattle Sounders48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC36.6
Seattle Sounders13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC91.7
Seattle Sounders78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles FC70.8
Seattle Sounders59.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
MetricLos Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
Goals scored1.4 goals/match5 obs.1 goals/match5 obs.
Goals allowed2.2 goals/match5 obs.1.4 goals/match5 obs.
Expected goals1.46 xG/match5 obs.2.04 xG/match5 obs.
Shots16.2 shots/match5 obs.20 shots/match5 obs.
Shots on target5.2 shots/match5 obs.6.4 shots/match5 obs.
Possession53.6%5 obs.56.8%5 obs.
Corners7.6 corners/match5 obs.7.2 corners/match5 obs.
Cards—0 obs.—0 obs.
Fouls11.6 fouls/match5 obs.8.2 fouls/match5 obs.

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
MetricLos Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
Goals scored1.6 goals/match10 obs.1.3 goals/match10 obs.
Goals allowed1.7 goals/match10 obs.0.9 goals/match10 obs.
Expected goals1.26 xG/match10 obs.1.58 xG/match10 obs.
Shots14.4 shots/match10 obs.14.5 shots/match10 obs.
Shots on target5 shots/match10 obs.5.5 shots/match10 obs.
Possession47.2%10 obs.55.2%10 obs.
Corners6.4 corners/match10 obs.5.5 corners/match10 obs.
Cards—0 obs.—0 obs.
Fouls11.9 fouls/match10 obs.9.3 fouls/match10 obs.

Window

Season

15 / 13 matches
MetricLos Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
Goals scored1.6 goals/match15 obs.1.31 goals/match13 obs.
Goals allowed1.13 goals/match15 obs.0.85 goals/match13 obs.
Expected goals1.2 xG/match12 obs.1.58 xG/match10 obs.
Shots14.1 shots/match15 obs.14 shots/match13 obs.
Shots on target4.87 shots/match15 obs.5.46 shots/match13 obs.
Possession47.9%15 obs.53.5%13 obs.
Corners5.93 corners/match15 obs.5.69 corners/match13 obs.
Cards2 cards/match3 obs.2 cards/match3 obs.
Fouls11.9 fouls/match15 obs.9 fouls/match13 obs.

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches
MetricLos Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
Goals scored1.88 goals/match8 obs.0.71 goals/match7 obs.
Goals allowed1 goals/match8 obs.0.57 goals/match7 obs.
Expected goals1.19 xG/match6 obs.1.03 xG/match5 obs.
Shots14 shots/match8 obs.11.6 shots/match7 obs.
Shots on target4.63 shots/match8 obs.4.57 shots/match7 obs.
Possession47.1%8 obs.53.7%7 obs.
Corners5.88 corners/match8 obs.5 corners/match7 obs.
Cards—2 obs.—2 obs.
Fouls13 fouls/match8 obs.9.86 fouls/match7 obs.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

MetricHomeAwayCompetitionSamples
Goals scoredseason1.6 goals/match57th1.31 goals/match22th1.57 goals/match15 / 13
Goals allowedseason1.13 goals/match15th0.85 goals/match5th1.57 goals/match15 / 13
Expected goalsseason1.2 xG/match25th1.58 xG/match68th1.46 xG/match12 / 10
Expected goals allowedseason1.17 xG/match12th1.26 xG/match32th1.38 xG/match12 / 10
Shotsseason14.1 shots/match82th14 shots/match78th13.1 shots/match15 / 13
Shots allowedseason11.7 shots/match30th12.8 shots/match65th12.3 shots/match15 / 13
Shots on targetseason4.87 shots/match62th5.46 shots/match78th4.66 shots/match15 / 13
Shots on target allowedseason3.93 shots/match13th4 shots/match18th4.53 shots/match15 / 13
Possessionseason47.9%38th53.5%75th49.4%15 / 13
Cornersseason5.93 corners/match92th5.69 corners/match78th4.73 corners/match15 / 13
Corners allowedseason4.53 corners/match32th6.31 corners/match88th4.93 corners/match15 / 13
Cardsseason2 cards/match25th2 cards/match25th2.45 cards/match3 / 3
Foulsseason11.9 fouls/match48th9 fouls/match2th12.1 fouls/match15 / 13
Clean-sheet frequencyseason60%98th38%88th20%15 / 13
Scoring frequencyseason87%80th77%42th79%15 / 13

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

MetricHomeAwayCompetitionSamples
Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures7.05 days—8 days——1 / 1
Matches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures2 matches—2 matches——1 / 1

What could change this?

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
TeamsLos Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v3