Major League Soccer · 2026Mon, 18 May 2026, 00:00 UTCFull timeGeodis ParkFull-time recap

Nashville SC

WWDDW

3–2Full-time recap

Los Angeles FC

DWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nashville SC	Los Angeles FC
Shots	6 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.7 xG/match	2.02 xG/match▲
Possession	52%	48%
Corners	3 corners/match	10 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Los Angeles FC. A second useful context is: Nashville SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Los Angeles FC.

4.02 days▲Rest daysNashville SC · Los Angeles FC3.98 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Nashville SC	Los Angeles FC	Baseline
Rest days	4.02 days	3.98 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Nashville SC have a visible home split

moderate

Nashville SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	11.6 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Nashville SC favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles FC in 3 · 5 too close

2.23 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/141.64 goals/match

0.77 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/141.21 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/111.13 xG/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/111.15 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/14▲13.9 shots/match

10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1411.8 shots/match

5.31 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/145 shots/match

3.23 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/143.93 shots/match

55%Possessionseason · 13/1447.9%

4.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/145.86 corners/match

4.38 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/144.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/32 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1412 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

46%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/14▲57%

77%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/14▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nashville SC80

Los Angeles FC41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nashville SC63.9

Los Angeles FC63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nashville SC92.2

Los Angeles FC79.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nashville SC21.7

Los Angeles FC75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC36.7

Los Angeles FC36.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 61%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC21.7

Los Angeles FC81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nashville SC42.1

Los Angeles FC66.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.24 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.2 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6 shots/match

57.6%Possession5/551.4%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.18 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.8 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.8 shots/match

54.9%Possession10/1046.1%

4.7 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 14 matches

2.23 goals/match▲Goals scored13/141.64 goals/match

0.77 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/141.21 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals10/111.13 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots13/14▲13.9 shots/match

5.31 shots/match▲Shots on target13/145 shots/match

55%Possession13/1447.9%

4.46 corners/matchCorners13/145.86 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFouls13/1412 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

3.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71.29 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/71.29 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goals4/61.2 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots6/714.1 shots/match

6.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/75.14 shots/match

59.7%Possession6/748.9%

5 corners/matchCorners6/76 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls6/710.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.98 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 18 May 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Nashville SC have a visible home split

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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