PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 17 May 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timePayPal ParkFull-time recap
2–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
Shots16 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match9 shots/match▲
Expected goals2.15 xG/match2.41 xG/match▲
Possession55%45%
Corners12 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Jose Earthquakes, FC Dallas. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible home split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Jose Earthquakes, FC Dallas.

3.04 days▲Rest daysSan Jose Earthquakes · FC Dallas3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesFC DallasBaseline
Rest days3.04 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

San Jose Earthquakes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

San Jose Earthquakes favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · FC Dallas in 2 · 4 too close

2.21 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/142 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/141.5 goals/match
1.88 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/111.63 xG/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.22 xG/match
14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1412.5 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲9.79 shots/match
5.57 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/144.93 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/144.07 shots/match
47.4%Possessionseason · 14/1443.6%
7.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.5 corners/match
5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/145.79 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1413.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1421%
93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1479%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

San Jose Earthquakes28.3
FC Dallas11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

San Jose Earthquakes86.1
FC Dallas62.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

San Jose Earthquakes78.9
FC Dallas76.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

San Jose Earthquakes85
FC Dallas75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

San Jose Earthquakes21.7
FC Dallas52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

San Jose Earthquakes98.3
FC Dallas23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

San Jose Earthquakes74.2
FC Dallas52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.64 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match
42.8%Possession5/540.8%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/102.2 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.52 xG/match
14.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.6 shots/match
5.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105.1 shots/match
46%Possession10/1044.5%
6.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
2.21 goals/match▲Goals scored14/142 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.5 goals/match
1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.63 xG/match
14.4 shots/match▲Shots14/1412.5 shots/match
5.57 shots/match▲Shots on target14/144.93 shots/match
47.4%Possession14/1443.6%
7.5 corners/matchCorners14/144.5 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 5 matches
2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/52 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/51 goals/match
2.67 xG/match▲Expected goals5/41.63 xG/match
19.6 shots/match▲Shots7/513.2 shots/match
7.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/56.6 shots/match
49.3%Possession7/543.2%
10.4 corners/matchCorners7/55 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/1—
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/512.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.08 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSan Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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