San Diego FC
Major League Soccer · 2026San Diego FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
San Diego FC and FC Cincinnati drew 3–3.
- Shots
- 16–8
- Shots on target
- 5–6
- Expected goals
- 1.77–1.41
- Possession
- 63%–37%
Full time
What the match recorded
San Diego and FC Cincinnati drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (San Diego – FC Cincinnati): shots 16–8, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.77–1.41, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
moderateA compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Diego, FC Cincinnati.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | San Diego | FC Cincinnati | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3 days | 3.08 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
San Diego's recent record differs from the season
weakSan Diego's last-five shots average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14.2 shots/match | 11.6 shots/match | 12.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
The teams have contrasting possession records
strongSan Diego have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | San Diego | FC Cincinnati | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 62.1% | 48.9% | 48.7% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: San Diego FC favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · FC Cincinnati in 5 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
San Diego FC / FC Cincinnati
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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