PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 17 May 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeAmerica First FieldFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal Salt LakeColorado Rapids
Shots17 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals1.38 xG/match▲0.39 xG/match
Possession49%51%
Corners2 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Salt Lake, Colorado Rapids. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Salt Lake, Colorado Rapids.

3 days▲Rest daysReal Salt Lake · Colorado Rapids3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal Salt LakeColorado RapidsBaseline
Rest days3 days3.04 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Colorado Rapids have a visible away split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.11 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.11 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Salt Lake favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Colorado Rapids in 1 · 6 too close

1.92 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/141.71 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/141.57 goals/match
1.81 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/111.33 xG/match
1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/111.46 xG/match
15.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1410.6 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1412.7 shots/match
6.31 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/144.29 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/144.79 shots/match
50.5%Possessionseason · 13/1455%
4.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/144.79 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/144.86 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/63.5 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1414.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/14▲21%
85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Salt Lake61.7
Colorado Rapids78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Salt Lake85.6
Colorado Rapids36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Salt Lake55.6
Colorado Rapids42.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Salt Lake98.3
Colorado Rapids5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake65
Colorado Rapids94.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake18.3
Colorado Rapids46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Salt Lake65.9
Colorado Rapids46.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.45 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.83 xG/match
15 shots/match▲Shots5/57.8 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
57.8%Possession5/553.2%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
—Cards0/1—
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.81 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.36 xG/match
16.8 shots/match▲Shots10/109.7 shots/match
7.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match
53.8%Possession10/1054.7%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
—Cards1/35 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 14 matches
1.92 goals/match▲Goals scored13/141.71 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/141.57 goals/match
1.81 xG/match▲Expected goals10/111.33 xG/match
15.8 shots/match▲Shots13/1410.6 shots/match
6.31 shots/match▲Shots on target13/144.29 shots/match
50.5%Possession13/1455%
4.31 corners/matchCorners13/144.79 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/63.5 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1414.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches
2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/91.11 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/91.67 goals/match
1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals7/81.13 xG/match
17.4 shots/match▲Shots8/98.11 shots/match
7.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/93.33 shots/match
50.1%Possession8/954.9%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/94.11 corners/match
—Cards1/2—
12.9 fouls/matchFouls8/914.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal Salt LakeColorado Rapids
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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