Major League Soccer · 2026Nu Stadium
64Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Inter Miami CF won 6–4.

Shots
1721
Shots on target
1010
Expected goals
5.14.02
Possession
64%36%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots21 shotsInter Miami CF 17 shots, Philadelphia Union 21 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots10 shotsInter Miami CF 10 shots, Philadelphia Union 10 shots
  • Expected goals5.1 xG4.02 xGInter Miami CF 5.1 xG, Philadelphia Union 4.02 xG
  • Possession64%36%Inter Miami CF 64%, Philadelphia Union 36%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersInter Miami CF 4 corners, Philadelphia Union 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls16 foulsInter Miami CF 18 fouls, Philadelphia Union 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards3 cardsInter Miami CF 6 cards, Philadelphia Union 3 cards

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter Miami beat Philadelphia Union 6–4. Recorded in this match (Inter Miami – Philadelphia Union): shots 17–21, shots on target 10–10, expected goals 5.1–4.02, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter Miami's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter Miami's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match Goals forLast 5 · Season2.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for4 goals/match2.6 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter Miami have a visible home split

moderate

Inter Miami's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.7 shots/match ShotsHome only · Season16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.7 shots/match16.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.87 corners/match CornersInter Miami · Philadelphia Union5.73 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricInter MiamiPhiladelphia UnionBaseline
Corners5.87 corners/match5.73 corners/match4.73 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter Miami CF
1Draws
1Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami CF · Major League Soccer33
Inter Miami CFPhiladelphia Union · Major League Soccer21
Inter Miami CFPhiladelphia Union · Major League Soccer31
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami CF · Major League Soccer12
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami CF · Major League Soccer41

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter Miami CF favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Philadelphia Union in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter Miami CF15 matchesPhiladelphia Union15 matches
2.6 goals/match Goals scored15/151.2 goals/match
1.87 goals/match Goals allowed15/152 goals/match
2.41 xG/match Expected goals12/121.46 xG/match
16.3 shots/match Shots15/1514.8 shots/match
6.87 shots/match Shots on target15/154.27 shots/match
57.7% Possession15/1546%
5.87 corners/match Corners15/155.73 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.2 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter Miami CF95.0
Philadelphia Union18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter Miami CF97.2
Philadelphia Union41.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter Miami CF36.1
Philadelphia Union71.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter Miami CF75.0
Philadelphia Union98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami CF78.3
Philadelphia Union95.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami CF88.3
Philadelphia Union81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter Miami CF89.2
Philadelphia Union72.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.98 days

Inter Miami CF / Philadelphia Union

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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