This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
FC Dallas won 1–2.
- Shots
- 15–5
- Shots on target
- 5–2
- Expected goals
- 1.25–1.7
- Possession
- 64%–36%
This match
Match statistics
Full time
What the match recorded
FC Dallas beat Colorado Rapids 2–1. Recorded in this match (Colorado Rapids – FC Dallas): shots 15–5, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.25–1.7, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season
moderateColorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.6 goals/match | 1.67 goals/match | 1.57 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Colorado Rapids have a visible home split
moderateColorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15 shots/match | 10.9 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Colorado Rapids show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateColorado Rapids's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Colorado Rapids | FC Dallas | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10.9 shots/match | 12 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
| Shots against | 12.2 shots/match | 10.1 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Colorado Rapids favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Dallas in 9 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Style profile
Style profile
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Schedule context
Rest and recent workload
Colorado Rapids / FC Dallas
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Team rankings in Major League Soccer
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.
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