Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 23 May 2026, 20:30 UTCFull timeAllianz FieldFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMinnesota United FCReal Salt Lake
Shots11 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.86 xG/match0.33 xG/match
Possession57%43%
Corners6 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Salt Lake's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Minnesota United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Real Salt Lake have a visible away split

moderate

Real Salt Lake's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match15.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Minnesota United FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Minnesota United FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Minnesota United FC, Real Salt Lake.

6.88 daysRest daysMinnesota United FC · Real Salt Lake6.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMinnesota United FCReal Salt LakeBaseline
Rest days6.88 days6.79 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Minnesota United FC favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Real Salt Lake in 8 · 5 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/141.86 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/141.36 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/111.68 xG/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/111.21 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1415.2 shots/match
12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1412.2 shots/match
4.27 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/145.93 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/144.43 shots/match
46.8%Possessionseason · 15/1449.9%
5.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/144.21 corners/match
5.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/145.07 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.75 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1412.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1414%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1486%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Minnesota United FC21.7
Real Salt Lake61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Minnesota United FC32.8
Real Salt Lake85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Minnesota United FC53.9
Real Salt Lake58.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Minnesota United FC68.3
Real Salt Lake85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC32.5
Real Salt Lake59.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC61.7
Real Salt Lake18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Minnesota United FC51.7
Real Salt Lake63.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.28 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.6 shots/match
51.2%Possession5/554.2%
6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.9 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.67 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots10/1015.3 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/106.4 shots/match
49%Possession10/1052.1%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
Cards1/1
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 14 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored15/141.86 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed15/141.36 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals12/111.68 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots15/1415.2 shots/match
4.27 shots/matchShots on target15/145.93 shots/match
46.8%Possession15/1449.9%
5.2 corners/matchCorners15/144.21 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1412.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/61.33 goals/match
0.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/61.83 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals6/41.27 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots7/612.3 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/64.17 shots/match
50.1%Possession7/649.7%
5.29 corners/matchCorners7/64.17 corners/match
Cards1/32.67 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/611.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.79 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match