Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 23 May 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeCITYPARKFull-time recap

St. Louis City

LLWWD

3–0Full-time recap

Austin

WWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	St. Louis City	Austin
Shots	16 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.95 xG/match▲	0.31 xG/match
Possession	47%	53%
Corners	2 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	19 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: St. Louis City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

St. Louis City show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

St. Louis City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsSt. Louis City · Austin10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	St. Louis City	Austin	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	11.4 shots/match	18.1 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

St. Louis City's recent record differs from the season

weak

St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.14 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Austin have a visible away split

moderate

Austin's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.5 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0St. Louis City

0Draws

1Austin

3 May 2026Austin — St. Louis City · Major League Soccer2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

St. Louis City favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Austin in 3 · 3 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/15▲1.27 goals/match

1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/152.07 goals/match

1.51 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/120.94 xG/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/122.2 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1510.2 shots/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1518.1 shots/match

4.21 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/153.87 shots/match

4.36 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/157.13 shots/match

49.4%Possessionseason · 14/1547.1%

5.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/154.33 corners/match

4.43 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/156.47 corners/match

3.2 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/32 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1511.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/15▲27%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/15▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

St. Louis City55

Austin25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

St. Louis City36.1

Austin12.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

St. Louis City68.9

Austin10.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

St. Louis City61.7

Austin25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

St. Louis City80.8

Austin29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

St. Louis City83.3

Austin21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

St. Louis City62.5

Austin17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.88 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

46.4%Possession5/547.8%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.4 goals/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.98 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1010 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/103.9 shots/match

48.8%Possession10/1046.5%

5.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 15 matches

1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/15▲1.27 goals/match

1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/152.07 goals/match

1.51 xG/match▲Expected goals11/120.94 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots14/1510.2 shots/match

4.21 shots/match▲Shots on target14/153.87 shots/match

49.4%Possession14/1547.1%

5.86 corners/matchCorners14/154.33 corners/match

3.2 cards/matchCards5/32 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1511.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 8 matches

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/81.25 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/83.13 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals4/70.93 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots6/88.5 shots/match

5.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/83 shots/match

50.7%Possession6/840.6%

5.83 corners/matchCorners6/83.25 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/811.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.76 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

St. Louis City show a distinct attacking-volume record

St. Louis City's recent record differs from the season

Austin have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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