This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
New York Red Bulls won 1–2.
- Shots
- 15–10
- Shots on target
- 8–4
- Expected goals
- 1.69–0.88
- Possession
- 62%–38%
This match
Match statistics
Full time
What the match recorded
New York Red Bulls beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sporting Kansas City – New York Red Bulls): shots 15–10, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 1.69–0.88, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season
moderateSporting Kansas City's last-five shots average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14.2 shots/match | 9.29 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
New York Red Bulls show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateNew York Red Bulls's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Sporting Kansas City | New York Red Bulls | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9.29 shots/match | 13.5 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
| Shots against | 16.4 shots/match | 12.9 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sporting Kansas City.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Sporting Kansas City | New York Red Bulls | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 7 days | 7.04 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Sporting Kansas City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · New York Red Bulls in 9 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Style profile
Style profile
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Schedule context
Rest and recent workload
Sporting Kansas City / New York Red Bulls
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Team rankings in Major League Soccer
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.
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