Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 2 May 2026, 20:45 UTCFull timeAmerica First FieldFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal Salt LakePortland Timbers
Shots25 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target15 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals3.54 xG/match1.05 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Salt Lake's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Salt Lake. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Real Salt Lake show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Salt Lake's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/matchShotsReal Salt Lake · Portland Timbers11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal Salt LakePortland TimbersBaseline
Shots17 shots/match11 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match18.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Salt Lake.

5.91 daysRest daysReal Salt Lake · Portland Timbers6.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal Salt LakePortland TimbersBaseline
Rest days5.91 days6.8 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Salt Lake favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 0 · 3 too close

1.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/101.3 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/102.1 goals/match
2.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.19 xG/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/72.02 xG/match
17 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1011 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1018.9 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/104.1 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/107.4 shots/match
48.1%Possessionseason · 10/1045.4%
4.3 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/103.8 corners/match
5.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/107.5 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/53 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1010 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/100%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1070%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Salt Lake45
Portland Timbers25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Salt Lake88.3
Portland Timbers22.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Salt Lake53.9
Portland Timbers7.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Salt Lake98.3
Portland Timbers41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake66.7
Portland Timbers46.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 70%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake35
Portland Timbers16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Salt Lake71.2
Portland Timbers17.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
2.16 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.16 xG/match
17.8 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
8.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/546.6%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
2.23 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.19 xG/match
17 shots/matchShots10/1011 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
48.1%Possession10/1045.4%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/53 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
2.23 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.19 xG/match
17 shots/matchShots10/1011 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
48.1%Possession10/1045.4%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/53 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
2.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/61 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
2.27 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.27 xG/match
18.8 shots/matchShots6/612 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on target6/64 shots/match
49.8%Possession6/645.3%
4.67 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match
Cards1/2
13 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.8 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 00:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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