PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 2 May 2026, 18:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSporting Kansas CitySeattle Sounders
Shots10 shots/match26 shots/match▲
Shots on target7 shots/match9 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.2 xG/match1.66 xG/match▲
Possession35%65%
Corners4 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sporting Kansas City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sporting Kansas City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

6.9 shots/match▲ShotsSporting Kansas City · Seattle Sounders12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting Kansas CitySeattle SoundersBaseline
Shots6.9 shots/match12 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against17.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sporting Kansas City have a visible home split

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

8.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season6.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match6.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sporting Kansas City favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders in 10 · 3 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/9▲1.44 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/9▲0.56 goals/match
0.63 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/6▲1.22 xG/match
2.59 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/6▲0.96 xG/match
6.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/9▲12 shots/match
17.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/9▲12.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/9▲5.33 shots/match
6.1 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/9▲4.33 shots/match
43.4%Possessionseason · 10/952.9%
3 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/95.22 corners/match
6.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/97.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/99.22 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/9▲56%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/9▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sporting Kansas City8.3
Seattle Sounders68.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sporting Kansas City1.7
Seattle Sounders48.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sporting Kansas City10.5
Seattle Sounders67.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sporting Kansas City1.7
Seattle Sounders31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sporting Kansas City31.6
Seattle Sounders18.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sporting Kansas City5
Seattle Sounders63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sporting Kansas City15.4
Seattle Sounders42.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
0.59 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.36 xG/match
6.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
42.8%Possession5/559.2%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 9 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/9▲1.44 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲0.56 goals/match
0.63 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲1.22 xG/match
6.9 shots/matchShots10/9▲12 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/9▲5.33 shots/match
43.4%Possession10/952.9%
3 corners/matchCorners10/95.22 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/99.22 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 9 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/9▲1.44 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲0.56 goals/match
0.63 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲1.22 xG/match
6.9 shots/matchShots10/9▲12 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/9▲5.33 shots/match
43.4%Possession10/952.9%
3 corners/matchCorners10/95.22 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/99.22 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/60.83 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲0.5 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals3/40.95 xG/match
8.2 shots/matchShots5/6▲11.8 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲4.67 shots/match
41.8%Possession5/654.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/65 corners/match
—Cards2/2—
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/69.83 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.75 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.67 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples10 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSporting Kansas CitySeattle Sounders
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match