Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeLumen FieldFull-time recap
41Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSeattle SoundersSt. Louis City
Shots13 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.71 xG/match0.55 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners5 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Seattle Sounders's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

St. Louis City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Seattle Sounders show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Seattle Sounders's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/matchShotsSeattle Sounders · St. Louis City13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSeattle SoundersSt. Louis CityBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Seattle Sounders
0Draws
0St. Louis City
St. Louis CitySeattle Sounders · Major League Soccer01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Seattle Sounders favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · St. Louis City in 3 · 6 too close

1.43 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/80.88 goals/match
0.43 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/81.63 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/51.09 xG/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/51.22 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/813 shots/match
13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/811.1 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/84.63 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/84.88 shots/match
50.4%Possessionseason · 7/850.3%
4.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/86.5 corners/match
7.86 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/83.63 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.33 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/811.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
71%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/80%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/863%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Seattle Sounders58.3
St. Louis City55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Seattle Sounders31.1
St. Louis City37.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Seattle Sounders68.9
St. Louis City56.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Seattle Sounders15
St. Louis City61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders28.4
St. Louis City18.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 69%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders48.3
St. Louis City85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Seattle Sounders30.4
St. Louis City52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.09 xG/match
8.8 shots/matchShots5/513 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
49.8%Possession5/550.8%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match
Cards1/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 8 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/80.88 goals/match
0.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.63 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.09 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots7/813 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/84.63 shots/match
50.4%Possession7/850.3%
4.86 corners/matchCorners7/86.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/811.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 8 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/80.88 goals/match
0.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.63 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.09 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots7/813 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/84.63 shots/match
50.4%Possession7/850.3%
4.86 corners/matchCorners7/86.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/811.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 5 matches
Goals scored2/50.6 goals/match
Goals allowed2/52 goals/match
Expected goals1/41.08 xG/match
Shots2/511.8 shots/match
Shots on target2/53 shots/match
Possession2/548%
Corners2/56.4 corners/match
Cards1/1
Fouls2/510.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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