Seattle Sounders FC
Major League Soccer · 2026Seattle Sounders FC 4–1 St.Louis City · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Seattle Sounders FC won 4–1.
- Shots
- 13–12
- Shots on target
- 9–2
- Expected goals
- 1.71–0.55
- Possession
- 50%–50%
Full time
What the match recorded
Seattle Sounders beat St. Louis City 4–1. Recorded in this match (Seattle Sounders – St. Louis City): shots 13–12, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 1.71–0.55, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
St. Louis City's recent record differs from the season
moderateSt. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 goals/match | 0.88 goals/match | 1.54 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Seattle Sounders show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateSeattle Sounders's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Seattle Sounders | St. Louis City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10.4 shots/match | 13 shots/match | 12.8 shots/match |
| Shots against | 13.6 shots/match | 11.1 shots/match | 12.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Seattle Sounders FC favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · St.Louis City in 3 · 3 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Seattle Sounders FC / St.Louis City
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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