PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeAllianz FieldFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMinnesota United FCPortland Timbers
Shots17 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals2.37 xG/match▲1.54 xG/match
Possession44%56%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Minnesota United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Minnesota United FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Minnesota United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsMinnesota United FC · Portland Timbers11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMinnesota United FCPortland TimbersBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match11 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match19.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Minnesota United FC favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 2 · 4 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1.38 goals/match
1.63 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/82.25 goals/match
1.56 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/51.23 xG/match
1.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.83 xG/match
13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/811 shots/match
14.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/819.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/84.25 shots/match
5.13 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/87 shots/match
41.6%Possessionseason · 8/846.8%
4.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/83.75 corners/match
6.38 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/87.88 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/53 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/89.75 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/80%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Minnesota United FC5
Portland Timbers31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Minnesota United FC40
Portland Timbers28.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Minnesota United FC35.5
Portland Timbers9.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Minnesota United FC88.3
Portland Timbers31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC41.7
Portland Timbers46.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 75%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC30
Portland Timbers13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Minnesota United FC52.1
Portland Timbers19.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.23 xG/match
12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
40.6%Possession5/547.6%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
—Cards1/2—
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.38 goals/match
1.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.25 goals/match
1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.23 xG/match
13.1 shots/match▲Shots8/811 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.25 shots/match
41.6%Possession8/846.8%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/83.75 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/53 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls8/89.75 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.38 goals/match
1.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.25 goals/match
1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.23 xG/match
13.1 shots/match▲Shots8/811 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.25 shots/match
41.6%Possession8/846.8%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/83.75 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/53 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls8/89.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/41 goals/match
0 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/42.5 goals/match
—Expected goals2/31.4 xG/match
14 shots/match▲Shots3/412.5 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/44.25 shots/match
40.3%Possession3/448%
4 corners/matchCorners3/44.5 corners/match
—Cards1/2—
11 fouls/matchFouls3/410.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMinnesota United FCPortland Timbers
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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