PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeAmerica First FieldFull-time recap
4–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal Salt LakeSan Diego
Shots16 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Expected goals2.63 xG/match▲1.3 xG/match
Possession48%52%
Corners1 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Salt Lake's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Salt Lake's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Real Salt Lake's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Salt Lake's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2.29 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Salt Lake show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Salt Lake's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match▲ShotsReal Salt Lake · San Diego10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal Salt LakeSan DiegoBaseline
Shots17 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

San Diego have a visible away split

weak

San Diego's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.25 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.25 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Salt Lake
1Draws
0San Diego
San Diego — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Salt Lake favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · San Diego in 2 · 6 too close

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/82 goals/match
1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/81.75 goals/match
2.49 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/51.35 xG/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/52.73 xG/match
17 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/810.4 shots/match
11.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/813.9 shots/match
6.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/84.88 shots/match
4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/86 shots/match
45.3%Possessionseason · 7/862.5%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/85.25 corners/match
5.86 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/8▲3.75 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/62.67 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/812 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/8▲38%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/888%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Salt Lake18.3
San Diego98.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Salt Lake92.8
San Diego46.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Salt Lake62.2
San Diego27.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Salt Lake98.3
San Diego5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake54.2
San Diego57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 79%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake51.7
San Diego55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Salt Lake67.5
San Diego41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
2.49 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.35 xG/match
18.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
47.4%Possession5/559.8%
5 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
—Cards2/33.67 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 8 matches
2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/82 goals/match
1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81.75 goals/match
2.49 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.35 xG/match
17 shots/match▲Shots7/810.4 shots/match
6.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/84.88 shots/match
45.3%Possession7/862.5%
5 corners/matchCorners7/85.25 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/62.67 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/812 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 8 matches
2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/82 goals/match
1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81.75 goals/match
2.49 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.35 xG/match
17 shots/match▲Shots7/810.4 shots/match
6.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/84.88 shots/match
45.3%Possession7/862.5%
5 corners/matchCorners7/85.25 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/62.67 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/812 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.5 goals/match
2.31 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.2 xG/match
19.3 shots/match▲Shots4/48.25 shots/match
7.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.75 shots/match
49%Possession4/461%
5 corners/matchCorners4/44.75 corners/match
—Cards1/2—
12 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.96 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal Salt LakeSan Diego
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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