PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Stadion An der Alten Försterei

1. FC Union Berlin 1–4 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 1–4.

Shots
915
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.161.96
Possession
25%75%

Full time

What the match recorded

Werder Bremen beat Union Berlin 4–1. Recorded in this match (Union Berlin – Werder Bremen): shots 9–15, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.16–1.96, possession 25%–75%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union Berlin's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible away split

moderate

Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Werder Bremen have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.4%PossessionUnion Berlin · Werder Bremen● 52%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUnion BerlinWerder BremenBaseline
Possession38.4%52%47.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shots1. FC Union Berlin 9 shots, SV Werder Bremen 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shots1. FC Union Berlin 2 shots, SV Werder Bremen 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG1.96 xG1. FC Union Berlin 1.16 xG, SV Werder Bremen 1.96 xG
  • Possession25%75%1. FC Union Berlin 25%, SV Werder Bremen 75%
  • Corners1 corner3 corners1. FC Union Berlin 1 corner, SV Werder Bremen 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls13 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 5 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cards1. FC Union Berlin 1 card, SV Werder Bremen 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRani Khedira · Union Berlin · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDerrick Köhn · Union Berlin · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeopold Querfeld · Union Berlin · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Deman · Werder Bremen · 31′ · 0.04 xG · goalLeonardo Bittencourt · Werder Bremen · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Union Berlin · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · Union Berlin · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRani Khedira · Union Berlin · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeopold Querfeld · Union Berlin · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDerrick Köhn · Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 35′ · 0.08 xG · goalJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 22′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 55′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPatrice Čović · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.25 xG · goalDerrick Köhn · Union Berlin · 18′ · 0.82 xG · goalMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 66′ · 0.88 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union Berlin: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.19 xG. Werder Bremen: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Derrick Köhn · Union Berlin · 18′Olivier Deman · Werder Bremen · 31′Jens Stage · Werder Bremen · 35′Marco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 66′Patrice Čović · Werder Bremen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union Berlin 1.19 xG · Werder Bremen 2.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Union Berlin
1Draws
3SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga4–1
1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin25 matchesSV Werder Bremen25 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.16 goals/match
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.8 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals25/251.27 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.52 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.2 shots/match
38.4%Possession25/25● 52%
5.04 corners/match ●Corners25/254.44 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards25/252.64 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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