PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Europa-Park-Stadion

SC Freiburg 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 0–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.110.54
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union Berlin beat SC Freiburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – Union Berlin): shots 19–9, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.11–0.54, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.42 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Freiburg have a visible home split

moderate

SC Freiburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SC Freiburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.5% ●PossessionSC Freiburg · Union Berlin38%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgUnion BerlinBaseline
Possession48.5%38%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsSC Freiburg 19 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsSC Freiburg 6 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.11 xG0.54 xGSC Freiburg 1.11 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 0.54 xG
  • Possession73%27%SC Freiburg 73%, 1. FC Union Berlin 27%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersSC Freiburg 6 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls19 foulsSC Freiburg 6 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsSC Freiburg 0 cards, 1. FC Union Berlin 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Derrick Köhn · Union Berlin · 2′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Ginter · SC Freiburg · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIlyas Ansah · Union Berlin · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Treu · SC Freiburg · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCyriaque Irié · SC Freiburg · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalCyriaque Irié · SC Freiburg · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · Union Berlin · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDerry Scherhant · SC Freiburg · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDanilho Doekhi · Union Berlin · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Treu · SC Freiburg · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIgor Matanović · SC Freiburg · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPhilipp Treu · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIgor Matanović · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLivan Burcu · Union Berlin · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLivan Burcu · Union Berlin · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCyriaque Irié · SC Freiburg · 33′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · Union Berlin · 69′ · 0.11 xG · on targetVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIgor Matanović · SC Freiburg · 84′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBruno Ogbus · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAndrej Ilić · Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDerry Scherhant · SC Freiburg · 54′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.12 xG. Union Berlin: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Woo-Yeong Jeong · Union Berlin · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 1.12 xG · Union Berlin 0.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SC Freiburg
3Draws
21. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–0
SC Freiburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2
1. FC Union Berlin — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–0
1. FC Union Berlin — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–1
SC Freiburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg26 matches1. FC Union Berlin26 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.19 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.62 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.26 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots26/2612.2 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.54 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession26/2638%
4.54 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.92 corners/match
1.72 cards/matchCards25/252.36 cards/match
9.35 fouls/matchFouls26/2613 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC Freiburg1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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