PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Weserstadion

SV Werder Bremen 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 2–0.

Shots
179
Shots on target
60
Expected goals
2.641.36
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Werder Bremen beat 1. FC Heidenheim 2–0. Recorded in this match (Werder Bremen – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 17–9, shots on target 6–0, expected goals 2.64–1.36, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

weak

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Werder Bremen have recorded the higher season possession share.

51% ●PossessionWerder Bremen · 1. FC Heidenheim42.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWerder Bremen1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Possession51%42.3%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsSV Werder Bremen 17 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots0 shotsSV Werder Bremen 6 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.64 xG1.36 xGSV Werder Bremen 2.64 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.36 xG
  • Possession50%50%SV Werder Bremen 50%, 1. FC Heidenheim 50%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersSV Werder Bremen 3 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsSV Werder Bremen 14 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsSV Werder Bremen 1 card, 1. FC Heidenheim 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Romano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYukinari Sugawara · Werder Bremen · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJovan Milošević · Werder Bremen · 57′ · 0.08 xG · goalJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLeonidas Stergiou · 1. FC Heidenheim · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKeke Topp · Werder Bremen · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 87′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHennes Behrens · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 77′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 37′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedHaktab Omar Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 44′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 41′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 19′ · 0.34 xG · on targetPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedJovan Milošević · Werder Bremen · 36′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.83 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Werder Bremen: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.78 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 9 shots, 0 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Jovan Milošević · Werder Bremen · 57′Hennes Behrens · Werder Bremen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Werder Bremen 2.78 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
2Draws
21. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2
1. FC Heidenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–4
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga3–3
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga1–2
1. FC Heidenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen24 matches1. FC Heidenheim24 matches
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.92 goals/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/242.21 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.34 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots24/2411.8 shots/match
4.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.46 shots/match
51% ●Possession24/2442.3%
4.5 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.71 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCards24/241.58 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls24/2410.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder Bremen1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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