Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bundesliga · 2025Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 drew 1–1.
- Shots
- 12–8
- Shots on target
- 5–4
- Expected goals
- 1.23–0.73
- Possession
- 66%–34%
Full time
What the match recorded
Bayer Leverkusen and FSV Mainz 05 drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Bayer Leverkusen – FSV Mainz 05): shots 12–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.23–0.73, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
FSV Mainz 05 have a visible away split
moderateFSV Mainz 05's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9.17 shots/match | 11.3 shots/match | 12.9 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
The teams have contrasting possession records
strongBayer Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.8 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | FSV Mainz 05 | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 60% | 44.3% | 47.7% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Bayer Leverkusen: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.24 xG. FSV Mainz 05: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.73 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer Leverkusen 1.24 xG · FSV Mainz 05 0.73 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 1
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen / 1. FSV Mainz 05
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- The fixture is outside the configured active season.
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
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Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.