Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeVolkswagen ArenaFull-time recap

VfL Wolfsburg

DLLLD

2–3Full-time recap

FC Augsburg

DWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	VfL Wolfsburg	FC Augsburg
Shots	10 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	4 corners/match	10 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	16 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.22 goals/match	1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0VfL Wolfsburg

0Draws

1FC Augsburg

4 Oct 2025FC Augsburg — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

VfL Wolfsburg favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 7 · 4 too close

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/231.22 goals/match

2.13 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.78 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/23▲12.8 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/23▲13.6 shots/match

3.96 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/23▲4.39 shots/match

5.43 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/23▲4.52 shots/match

46.4%Possessionseason · 23/2346.1%

3.74 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/234.61 corners/match

7.65 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/23▲4.87 corners/match

2.09 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 23/232.7 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

4%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲17%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2370%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfL Wolfsburg36.1

FC Augsburg30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfL Wolfsburg33.3

FC Augsburg44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfL Wolfsburg12.9

FC Augsburg45.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfL Wolfsburg30.6

FC Augsburg63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg58.3

FC Augsburg86.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg2.8

FC Augsburg41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfL Wolfsburg27.8

FC Augsburg54.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

43.2%Possession5/546.8%

3 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.4 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match

47.7%Possession10/1047.7%

3.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored23/231.22 goals/match

2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲1.78 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.6 shots/matchShots23/23▲12.8 shots/match

3.96 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲4.39 shots/match

46.4%Possession23/2346.1%

3.74 corners/matchCorners23/234.61 corners/match

2.09 cards/matchCards23/232.7 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 11 matches

1.58 goals/match▲Goals scored12/111.18 goals/match

2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13 shots/matchShots12/1113.4 shots/match

4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target12/114.27 shots/match

49.1%Possession12/1145%

4.67 corners/matchCorners12/113.73 corners/match

2.08 cards/matchCards12/112.82 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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