Bundesliga · 2025Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig and VfL Wolfsburg drew 2–2.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
2.690.62
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig and VfL Wolfsburg drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 20–10, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 2.69–0.62, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.41 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · VfL Wolfsburg11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsRB Leipzig 20 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 10 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsRB Leipzig 10 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.69 xG0.62 xGRB Leipzig 2.69 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.62 xG
  • Possession68%32%RB Leipzig 68%, VfL Wolfsburg 32%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersRB Leipzig 6 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls10 foulsRB Leipzig 6 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsRB Leipzig 1 card, VfL Wolfsburg 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDenis Vavro · VfL Wolfsburg · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristian Eriksen · VfL Wolfsburg · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · RB Leipzig · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · RB Leipzig · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · RB Leipzig · 89′ · 0.04 xG · goalChristian Eriksen · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · RB Leipzig · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Henrichs · RB Leipzig · 34′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAdam Daghim · VfL Wolfsburg · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWilli Orbán · RB Leipzig · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 7′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRômulo · RB Leipzig · 67′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRômulo · RB Leipzig · 73′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 52′ · 0.11 xG · goalYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 70′ · 0.22 xG · goalRômulo · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedConrad Harder · RB Leipzig · 5′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 78′ · 0.29 xG · goalConrad Harder · RB Leipzig · 19′ · 0.34 xG · on targetBrajan Gruda · RB Leipzig · 41′ · 0.62 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 20 shots, 10 on target, 2.63 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Yan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 70′Brajan Gruda · RB Leipzig · 89′Mohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 52′Mattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 2.63 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RB Leipzig
0Draws
2VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–1
VfL Wolfsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–3
RB Leipzig — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–5
RB Leipzig — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–0
VfL Wolfsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig22 matchesVfL Wolfsburg22 matches
1.91 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.41 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/222.09 goals/match
1.9 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.31 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots22/2211.7 shots/match
5.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.95 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession22/2246.2%
5.32 corners/match ●Corners22/223.73 corners/match
1.41 cards/matchCards22/222.05 cards/match
9.09 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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