PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Weserstadion

SV Werder Bremen 0–3 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 0–3.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
0.981.9
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayern München beat Werder Bremen 3–0. Recorded in this match (Werder Bremen – Bayern München): shots 14–11, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 0.98–1.9, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsWerder Bremen · Bayern München18.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWerder BremenBayern MünchenBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match18.9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match9.77 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsSV Werder Bremen 14 shots, FC Bayern München 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsSV Werder Bremen 3 shots, FC Bayern München 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG1.9 xGSV Werder Bremen 0.98 xG, FC Bayern München 1.9 xG
  • Possession35%65%SV Werder Bremen 35%, FC Bayern München 65%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersSV Werder Bremen 2 corners, FC Bayern München 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls4 foulsSV Werder Bremen 9 fouls, FC Bayern München 4 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardSV Werder Bremen 3 cards, FC Bayern München 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Justin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 47′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHarry Kane · Bayern München · 25′ · 0.05 xG · goalFelix Agu · Werder Bremen · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · Bayern München · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 53′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 71′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · Werder Bremen · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · Bayern München · 77′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · Bayern München · 70′ · 0.11 xG · goalJamal Musiala · Bayern München · 88′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMarco Grüll · Werder Bremen · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 9′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 66′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · Bayern München · 63′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 64′ · 0.19 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 29′ · 0.26 xG · on targetHarry Kane · Bayern München · 22′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Werder Bremen: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.98 xG. Bayern München: 11 shots, 8 on target, 1.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Harry Kane · Bayern München · 22′Harry Kane · Bayern München · 25′Leon Goretzka · Bayern München · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Werder Bremen 0.98 xG · Bayern München 1.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
4FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga4–0
FC Bayern München — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga3–0
SV Werder Bremen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–5
FC Bayern München — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–1
SV Werder Bremen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen22 matchesFC Bayern München22 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 3.73 goals/match
1.91 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 2.96 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 18.9 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 8.82 shots/match
50.7%Possession22/22● 67.3%
4.55 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.27 corners/match
2.55 cards/matchCards22/221.86 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls22/229.09 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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