Bundesliga · 2025Allianz Arena

FC Bayern München 5–1 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 5–1.

Shots
279
Shots on target
144
Expected goals
5.62.03
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayern München beat 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1. Recorded in this match (Bayern München – 1899 Hoffenheim): shots 27–9, shots on target 14–4, expected goals 5.6–2.03, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBayern München · 1899 Hoffenheim12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayern München1899 HoffenheimBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against9.57 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.4% ●PossessionBayern München · 1899 Hoffenheim52.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayern München1899 HoffenheimBaseline
Possession67.4%52.9%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots9 shotsFC Bayern München 27 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 9 shots
  • Shots on target14 shots4 shotsFC Bayern München 14 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 4 shots
  • Expected goals5.6 xG2.03 xGFC Bayern München 5.6 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 2.03 xG
  • Possession55%45%FC Bayern München 55%, TSG Hoffenheim 45%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersFC Bayern München 8 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsFC Bayern München 11 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsFC Bayern München 2 cards, TSG Hoffenheim 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michael Olise · Bayern München · 9′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSerge Gnabry · Bayern München · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Pavlović · Bayern München · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · Bayern München · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · Bayern München · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMax Moerstedt · 1899 Hoffenheim · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · Bayern München · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHarry Kane · Bayern München · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLennart Karl · Bayern München · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 89′ · 0.05 xG · goalSerge Gnabry · Bayern München · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed Damar · 1899 Hoffenheim · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · Bayern München · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 27′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · Bayern München · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFisnik Asllani · 1899 Hoffenheim · 57′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlphonso Davies · Bayern München · 77′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · Bayern München · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFisnik Asllani · 1899 Hoffenheim · 29′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · Bayern München · 69′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBazoumana Touré · 1899 Hoffenheim · 33′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed Damar · 1899 Hoffenheim · 86′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAleksandar Pavlović · Bayern München · 10′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 45′ · 0.24 xG · goalHarry Kane · Bayern München · 67′ · 0.30 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Bayern München · 90′ · 0.31 xG · on targetOzan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 25′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 51′ · 0.38 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 62′ · 0.46 xG · goalAndrej Kramarić · 1899 Hoffenheim · 33′ · 0.50 xG · on targetHarry Kane · Bayern München · 38′ · 0.52 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · 1899 Hoffenheim · 35′ · 0.53 xG · goalHarry Kane · Bayern München · 27′ · 0.63 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 20′ · 0.82 xG · goalHarry Kane · Bayern München · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayern München: 27 shots, 14 on target, 5.68 xG. 1899 Hoffenheim: 9 shots, 4 on target, 2.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0360′HT90′Harry Kane · Bayern München · 20′Luis Díaz · Bayern München · 45′Harry Kane · Bayern München · 45′Luis Díaz · Bayern München · 62′Luis Díaz · Bayern München · 89′Andrej Kramarić · 1899 Hoffenheim · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayern München 5.68 xG · 1899 Hoffenheim 2.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4FC Bayern München
0Draws
1TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–4
TSG Hoffenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4
FC Bayern München — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga5–0
TSG Hoffenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga4–2
FC Bayern München — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München21 matchesTSG Hoffenheim21 matches
3.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/212.1 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.33 goals/match
3.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.58 xG/match
19.3 shots/match ▲Shots21/2112.7 shots/match
8.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.86 shots/match
67.4% ●Possession21/2152.9%
6.38 corners/match ●Corners21/214.95 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards21/212.1 cards/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls21/2114.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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